Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $147B · ISIN US84265V1052
What is Southern Copper Corporation really worth?
Southern Copper Corporation
SCCO · US
A solid business, but trading 134% above our fair value of $85.17.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($110.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range ($49.56 to $110.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $35.81 – $219.70 · fair‑value band $49.56 – $110.41 · the $199.53 price screens above the $85.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) currently trades at $199.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.17, implying the stock looks roughly 134.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $88.64 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $199.53 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.86, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Southern Copper Corporation generated revenue of $14.5B at a net margin of 34.1%. Revenue grew 36.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.3%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $49.56 (bear case) to $110.41 (bull case); at $199.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −57%, SCCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.76 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($88.64) versus Asset-Based ($8.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Mexico, the United States, Peru, Brazil, Chile, and Other American countries.
Full company description
Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Mexico, the United States, Peru, Brazil, Chile, and Other American countries. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes; production of copper-molybdenum concentrates and sulfuric acid; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials; and mining and processing of copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold and lead. It operates the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, smelter, and refinery in Peru; La Caridad, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper ore concentrator; and SX-EW plant, a smelter, refinery, and rod plant in Mexico. The company also operates Buenavista, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper concentrators and operating SX-EW plants in Mexico. In addition, it operates underground mines that produce zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold; coal mine; and zinc refinery. The company has interests in 164,805 hectares and 505,788 hectares of concessions in Peru and Mexico; and 98,634 hectares and 28,453 hectares of exploration concessions in Argentina and Chile. Southern Copper Corporation was formerly known as Southern Peru Copper Corp. and changed its name to Southern Copper Corporation in July 1996. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Southern Copper Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Southern Copper Corporation reported revenue of $13.4B in FY2025 versus $10.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3B in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SCCO screens 134% overvalued. Compare with Freeport-McMoRan Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Southern Copper (SCCO) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
- Southern Copper Stock Pauses After Teasing Investors
Peer Group
Copper · 59 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $75.74 | $22.81 | −70% |
| First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM | C$43.46 | C$16.35 | −62% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$35.76 | C$22.65 | −37% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥45.86 | ¥35.19 | −23% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥6.37 | ¥3.06 | −52% |
| MMG Limited 1208 | HK$9.08 | HK$5.29 | −42% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$38.79 | C$21.25 | −45% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥19.78 | ¥6.39 | −68% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CS | C$14.82 | C$9.91 | −33% |
| Yunnan Copper Co 000878 | ¥17.06 | ¥7.46 | −56% |
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