Jiangxi Copper Company (600362) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 135B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Share price +2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥22.26 to ¥43.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥14.67 – ¥70.47 · fair‑value band ¥22.26 – ¥43.99 · the ¥44.36 price screens above the ¥35.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangxi Copper Company (600362) currently trades at ¥44.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.19, implying the stock looks roughly 20.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangxi Copper Company generated revenue of 573B CNY at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 45.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥22.26 (bear case) to ¥43.99 (bull case); at ¥44.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -21%, 600362 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥55.25) versus Asset-Based (¥15.81). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangxi Copper Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mining, beneficiation, smelting, and processing of copper and gold in Chinese Mainland, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Copper-related Industries and Gold-related Industries.
Full company description
Jiangxi Copper Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mining, beneficiation, smelting, and processing of copper and gold in Chinese Mainland, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Copper-related Industries and Gold-related Industries. The company is involved in the businesses of copper, gold, lead and zinc, trade, finance, new materials, engineering construction, equipment manufacturing, information technology, energy conservation and environment protection. It also engages in the extraction and processing of precious metals and scattered metals; smelting, rolling processing, and deep processing of non-ferrous metals and related by-products; research, development, production, and sales of copper materials; manufacture and sales of wires and cables, and trade of related products business. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Guixi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangxi Copper Company reported revenue of ¥545B in FY2025 versus ¥443B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥7.1B in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600362 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →
Peer Group
Copper · 59 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $194.89 | $85.17 | -56% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $69.22 | $22.81 | -67% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$36.91 | C$18.67 | -49% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥6.63 | ¥3.06 | -54% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$38.79 | C$21.25 | -45% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥19.38 | ¥6.39 | -67% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CSC | A$15.85 | A$7.28 | -54% |
| Yunnan Copper Co 000878 | ¥16.68 | ¥7.46 | -55% |
| Sandfire Resources Limited SFR | A$21.57 | A$3.39 | -84% |
| China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 | HK$15.14 | HK$1.76 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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