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Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A (600362) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 135B CNY (≈ $20.2B) · ISIN CNE0000019P0

What is Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A really worth?

JC Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A 600362 · SHG
Price¥45.86
Fair Value¥35.19
Upside−23.3%
Quality50/100

A solid business, but trading 30% above our fair value of ¥35.19.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 2 out of 100

For context

·2.18% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range ¥22.26 – ¥43.99

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥43.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥22.26 to ¥43.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥70.47 ¥14.67 Fair Value ¥35.19 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.67 – ¥70.47 · fair‑value band ¥22.26 – ¥43.99 · the ¥45.86 price screens above the ¥35.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A (600362) currently trades at ¥45.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.19, implying the stock looks roughly 30.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥55.25 per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥45.86 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥15.81, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A generated revenue of 573B CNY at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 45.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥22.26 (bear case) to ¥43.99 (bull case); at ¥45.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −23%, 600362 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.8969 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence ¥20.16 ¥21.94 ¥28.07 75
Owner Earnings ¥31.27 ¥55.25 ¥100.56 72
EPV ¥46.37 ¥52.90 ¥58.60 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥31.27 ¥55.25 ¥100.56 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥14.08 ¥79.38 ¥110.29 61
Lynch FV ¥22.26 ¥31.80 ¥41.33 58
PEG = 1.0 ¥22.26 ¥31.80 ¥41.33 55
EPV ¥46.37 ¥52.90 ¥58.60 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥10.12 ¥21.05 ¥33.39 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥10.12 ¥17.75 ¥22.09 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥26.39 ¥35.19 ¥43.99 61
P/S Multiple ¥26.39 ¥35.19 ¥43.99 56
P/B Multiple ¥26.39 ¥35.19 ¥43.99 53
EV/EBIT ¥58.58 ¥75.69 ¥92.81 65
EV/EBITDA ¥51.22 ¥65.89 ¥80.55 66
EV/Revenue ¥51.73 ¥70.80 ¥89.87 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥11.80 ¥15.81 ¥23.60 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence ¥20.16 ¥21.94 ¥28.07 75
ROIC Compounder ¥53.69 ¥71.96 ¥96.67 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥30.24 ¥43.20 ¥56.16 66

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥55.25) versus Asset-Based (¥15.81). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 19.1 as of Jun 7, 2026
P/S ratio 0.25 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥2.32 price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.1
Dividend yield 2.2% payout 43.1%
Net margin 1.3% FY2025
Return on equity 9.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 573B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.4% 3y avg +4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +43.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −11.1B CNY FY2025
Net debt 45.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Jiangxi Copper Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mining, beneficiation, smelting, and processing of copper and gold in Chinese Mainland, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Copper-related Industries and Gold-related Industries.

Full company description

Jiangxi Copper Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mining, beneficiation, smelting, and processing of copper and gold in Chinese Mainland, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Copper-related Industries and Gold-related Industries. The company is involved in the businesses of copper, gold, lead and zinc, trade, finance, new materials, engineering construction, equipment manufacturing, information technology, energy conservation and environment protection. It also engages in the extraction and processing of precious metals and scattered metals; smelting, rolling processing, and deep processing of non-ferrous metals and related by-products; research, development, production, and sales of copper materials; manufacture and sales of wires and cables, and trade of related products business. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Guixi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 545B CNY in FY2025 versus 443B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 7.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
545B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+26.0% (23.8 + 2.2)
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 443B CNY
FY22 480B CNY
FY23 522B CNY
FY24 521B CNY
FY25 545B CNY
Net income +6.1%/yr
FY21 5.6B CNY
FY22 6.0B CNY
FY23 6.5B CNY
FY24 7.0B CNY
FY25 7.1B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +19.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.8 %

of which total revenue +11.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %

EBIT margin +7.3 %
Tax rate +2.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600362 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600362

Peer Group

Copper · 59 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −23% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 25% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 3.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE2 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 100
PAST37 · sector 34
HEALTH94 · sector 92
DIVIDEND44 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $216.28 $85.17 −61%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $75.74 $22.81 −70%
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM C$43.46 C$16.35 −62%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$35.76 C$22.65 −37%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥6.37 ¥3.06 −52%
MMG Limited 1208 HK$9.08 HK$5.29 −42%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM C$38.79 C$21.25 −45%
Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 ¥19.78 ¥6.39 −68%
Capstone Copper Corp CS C$14.82 C$9.91 −33%
Yunnan Copper Co 000878 ¥17.06 ¥7.46 −56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A (600362) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥35.19 versus a price of ¥45.86, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600362?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A is ¥35.19 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥45.86.
What is the quality score of 600362?
Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A (600362)?
Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 573B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600362?
The net profit margin of Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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