Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹468B (≈ $5.0B) · ISIN INE531E01026
What is Hindustan Copper Limited really worth?
A strong business, but trading 229% above our fair value of ₹158.42.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −2.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 84/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹196.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹81.87 – ₹758.83 · fair‑value band ₹120.62 – ₹196.22 · the ₹521.65 price screens above the ₹158.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) currently trades at ₹521.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹158.42, implying the stock looks roughly 229.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹229.56 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹521.65 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹23.16, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hindustan Copper Limited generated revenue of ₹30.8B at a net margin of 29.8%. Revenue grew 58.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹7.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹120.62 (bear case) to ₹196.22 (bull case); at ₹521.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 132% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −70%, HINDCOPPER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹2.96 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹229.56) versus Asset-Based (₹23.16). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 85 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hindustan Copper Limited engages in the exploration, exploitation, and mining of copper and copper ores in India. It offers continuous cast copper rods, copper cathodes, copper concentrates, copper sulfate, sulphuric acid, reverts, anode slime, and nickel cathodes. The company's flagship project is the Malanjkhand Copper project located in Madhya Pradesh.
Full company description
Hindustan Copper Limited engages in the exploration, exploitation, and mining of copper and copper ores in India. It offers continuous cast copper rods, copper cathodes, copper concentrates, copper sulfate, sulphuric acid, reverts, anode slime, and nickel cathodes. The company's flagship project is the Malanjkhand Copper project located in Madhya Pradesh. It also involved in the beneficiation, smelting, and refining of minerals. The company also exports its products. Hindustan Copper Limited was incorporated in 1967 and is based in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Hindustan Copper Limited reported revenue of ₹30.8B in FY2026 versus ₹18.0B in FY2022, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹9.2B in FY2026, compounding +25.2%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +8.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
HINDCOPPER screens 229% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →
Peer Group
Copper · 59 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 20/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $216.28 | $85.17 | −61% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $75.74 | $22.81 | −70% |
| First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM | C$43.46 | C$16.35 | −62% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$35.76 | C$22.65 | −37% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥45.86 | ¥35.19 | −23% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥6.37 | ¥3.06 | −52% |
| MMG Limited 1208 | HK$9.08 | HK$5.29 | −42% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$38.79 | C$21.25 | −45% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥19.78 | ¥6.39 | −68% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CS | C$14.82 | C$9.91 | −33% |
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