Eagers Automotive Ltd (APE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$5.8B (≈ $4.2B) · ISIN AU000000APE3
What is Eagers Automotive Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 20% above our fair value of A$17.66.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −11.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$7.27 – A$33.93 · fair‑value band A$12.77 – A$22.07 · the A$21.12 price screens above the A$17.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Eagers Automotive Ltd (APE) currently trades at A$21.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$17.66, implying the stock looks roughly 19.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$31.22 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$21.12 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$4.41, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Eagers Automotive Ltd generated revenue of A$13.0B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at A$3.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$12.77 (bear case) to A$22.07 (bull case); at A$21.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −16%, APE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.0812 per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$31.22) versus Asset-Based (A$4.41). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Eagers Automotive Limited owns and operates motor vehicle dealerships in Australia and New Zealand. It operates in two segments, Car Retailing and Property.
Full company description
Eagers Automotive Limited owns and operates motor vehicle dealerships in Australia and New Zealand. It operates in two segments, Car Retailing and Property. The company offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles, vehicle maintenance and repair services, vehicle parts, service contracts, vehicle brokerage services, vehicle protection products, and other aftermarket products. It also engages in facilitating financing for vehicle purchases through third-party sources; and motor auction and forklift rental business. In addition, the company acquires commercial properties primarily for use as facility premises for its motor dealership operations. The company was formerly known as A.P. Eagers Limited and changed its name to Eagers Automotive Limited in July 2020. Eagers Automotive Limited was founded in 1913 and is based in Newstead, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Eagers Automotive Ltd reported revenue of A$13.0B in FY2025 versus A$8.7B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$227M in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.9 % · buybacks/dilution −3.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
APE screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 97 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 48/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $74.04 | $17.59 | −76% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $219.62 | $217.41 | −1% |
| D'Ieteren Group DIE | €175.00 | €105.40 | −40% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 524.00 TWD | 558.82 TWD | +7% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $62.11 | $29.44 | −53% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $369.61 | $498.50 | +35% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $196.57 | $329.77 | +68% |
| AUTO1 Group AG1 | €21.78 | €5.84 | −73% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.27 | $66.27 | −13% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $33.96 | $24.55 | −28% |
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