Hotai Motor Co Ltd (2207) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 265B TWD (≈ $8.4B) · ISIN TW0002207008
What is Hotai Motor Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 13% above our fair value of 475.00 TWD.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +5.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 453.67 TWD – 862.59 TWD · fair‑value band 356.25 TWD – 637.02 TWD · the 539.00 TWD price screens above the 475.00 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hotai Motor Co Ltd (2207) currently trades at 539.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 475.00 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 803.00 TWD per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the 539.00 TWD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 103.62 TWD, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hotai Motor Co Ltd generated revenue of 280B TWD at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.7%. Net debt stands at 291B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 356.25 TWD (bear case) to 637.02 TWD (bull case); at 539.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −12%, 2207 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 9.45 TWD per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (803.00 TWD) versus Asset-Based (103.62 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hotai Motor Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, exports and imports, trades, and sells vehicles, automobile air conditioners, and related parts in Taiwan and Mainland China.
Full company description
Hotai Motor Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, exports and imports, trades, and sells vehicles, automobile air conditioners, and related parts in Taiwan and Mainland China. It is also involved in the installment sales and vehicle leasing, used vehicles selling, property and casualty insurance, trading of vehicle products/accessories, solar power, energy storage, and vehicle repairing activities, electronic parts and components manufacturing, as well as property management business. In addition, the company provides e-commerce platform services, decision making, capital using and financial management, information, taxi, employee training, consulting, factoring, freight forwarding, transportation and storage, and other services; and designs and produces advertisement. It provides products under the TOYOTA, LEXUS, and HINO brands. Hotai Motor Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hotai Motor Co Ltd reported revenue of 278B TWD in FY2025 versus 228B TWD in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 18.9B TWD in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.6 % · buybacks/dilution −0.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
2207 screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 97 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $74.04 | $17.59 | −76% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $219.62 | $217.41 | −1% |
| D'Ieteren Group DIE | €175.00 | €105.40 | −40% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $62.11 | $29.44 | −53% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $369.61 | $498.50 | +35% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $196.57 | $329.77 | +68% |
| AUTO1 Group AG1 | €21.78 | €5.84 | −73% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.27 | $66.27 | −13% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $33.96 | $24.55 | −28% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$23.44 | A$17.66 | −25% |
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