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Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material (603124) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 20.6B CNY (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN CNE100007028

What is Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material really worth?

JJ Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material 603124 · SHG
Price¥119.21
Fair Value¥21.73
Upside−81.8%
Quality31/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 449% above our fair value of ¥21.73.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +23.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥16.29 – ¥27.16

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +0.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥27.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

¥211.31 ¥10.43 Fair Value ¥21.73 Mar 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range ¥10.43 – ¥211.31 · fair‑value band ¥16.29 – ¥27.16 · the ¥119.21 price screens above the ¥21.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material (603124) currently trades at ¥119.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.73, implying the stock looks roughly 448.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥38.10 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥119.21 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥8.07, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material generated revenue of 11.2B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 39.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. Net debt stands at 173M CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.29 (bear case) to ¥27.16 (bull case); at ¥119.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 159% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −82%, 603124 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.19 per share, which is 5.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥8.07 to ¥71.30). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV ¥26.27 ¥29.46 ¥32.25 74
Owner Earnings ¥16.77 ¥29.08 ¥54.92 73
Residual Income ¥11.72 ¥13.82 ¥28.08 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥16.77 ¥29.08 ¥54.92 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.22 ¥71.30 ¥100.05 63
Lynch FV ¥21.30 ¥30.43 ¥39.56 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥21.30 ¥30.43 ¥39.56 57
EPV ¥26.27 ¥29.46 ¥32.25 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.60 ¥9.57 ¥15.18 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.60 ¥8.07 ¥10.04 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥19.17 ¥25.56 ¥31.95 63
P/S Multiple ¥19.17 ¥25.56 ¥31.95 58
P/B Multiple ¥19.17 ¥25.56 ¥31.95 55
EV/EBIT ¥30.57 ¥38.39 ¥46.21 66
EV/EBITDA ¥25.73 ¥31.93 ¥38.13 67
EV/Revenue ¥27.45 ¥36.16 ¥44.87 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.35 ¥8.51 ¥12.70 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.72 ¥13.82 ¥28.08 72
ROIC Compounder ¥30.27 ¥39.46 ¥51.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥26.67 ¥38.10 ¥49.53 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥38.10) versus Dividend Discount (¥8.07). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 66.2
P/S ratio 1.40 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.80 price ÷ EPS = P/E 66.2
Dividend yield 0.0% payout 2.6%
Net margin 2.1% FY2025
Return on equity 14.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 11.2B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +39.7% 3y avg +18.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +63.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −1.0B CNY FY2025
Net debt 173M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of copper-based new materials worldwide. It offers copper ball series, copper oxide powder series, Anode Phosphor Bronze Series, and high-precision copper-based heat sink series.

Full company description

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of copper-based new materials worldwide. It offers copper ball series, copper oxide powder series, Anode Phosphor Bronze Series, and high-precision copper-based heat sink series. The company serves communications, computers, consumer electronics, automotive electronics, industrial control and medical, aerospace, new energy, and organosilicon. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Yingtan City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material reported revenue of 10.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was 219M CNY in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+18.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.7% (13.7 + 0.0)
Revenue +13.2%/yr
FY21 6.3B CNY
FY22 6.2B CNY
FY23 6.8B CNY
FY24 8.7B CNY
FY25 10.3B CNY
Net income +10.4%/yr
FY21 148M CNY
FY22 105M CNY
FY23 142M CNY
FY24 176M CNY
FY25 219M CNY

603124 screens 449% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603124

Peer Group

Copper · 59 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 40% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 66.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 11.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.84× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 50.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 100
PAST57 · sector 34
HEALTH98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND1 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $216.28 $85.17 −61%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $75.74 $22.81 −70%
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM C$43.46 C$16.35 −62%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$35.76 C$22.65 −37%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥45.86 ¥35.19 −23%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥6.37 ¥3.06 −52%
MMG Limited 1208 HK$9.08 HK$5.29 −42%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM C$38.79 C$21.25 −45%
Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 ¥19.78 ¥6.39 −68%
Capstone Copper Corp CS C$14.82 C$9.91 −33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material (603124) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.73 versus a price of ¥119.21, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603124?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material is ¥21.73 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥119.21.
What is the quality score of 603124?
Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material (603124)?
Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603124?
The net profit margin of Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material pay a dividend?
Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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