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Urban Edge Properties (UE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $3.1B · ISIN US91704F1049

What is Urban Edge Properties really worth?

UE Urban Edge Properties logo Urban Edge Properties UE · US
Price$21.16
Fair Value$8.72
Upside−58.8%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 143% above our fair value of $8.72.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 22.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.4 %/yr)
!Trails peers (2/15)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Weak on future: 27 out of 100

For context

·3.69% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $8.26 – $14.75

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −5.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$23.71 $11.29 Fair Value $8.72 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.29 – $23.71 · fair‑value band $8.26 – $14.75 · the $21.16 price screens above the $8.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Urban Edge Properties (UE) currently trades at $21.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.72, implying the stock looks roughly 142.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.62 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $21.16 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $3.45, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Urban Edge Properties generated revenue of $478M at a net margin of 22.6%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.26 (bear case) to $14.75 (bull case); at $21.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −59%, UE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0476 per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $8.32 $8.80 $9.36 76
FCF DCF $2.42 $8.69 $17.31 74
Growth DCF $2.78 $8.55 $16.11 73
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.42 $8.69 $17.31 74
5Y Revenue Exit $3.23 $8.93 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.07 $18.47 $31.27 72
10Y Revenue Exit $4.08 $9.43 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.12 $14.16 $25.40 64
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.66 $11.51 $17.30 67
DDM Multi-Stage $6.66 $9.79 $13.08 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $9.46 $12.62 $15.77 58
P/B Multiple $9.46 $12.62 $15.77 55
EV/EBIT $4.19 $9.71 $15.22 62
EV/EBITDA $13.01 $21.47 $29.93 65
EV/Revenue $0.6800 $4.59 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.11 $6.85 $10.23 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.78 $8.55 $16.11 73
Rev-Margin DCF $3.45 $8.81 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $8.32 $8.80 $9.36 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($12.62) versus Growth DCF ($3.45). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 27.2 as of Jun 25, 2026
P/S ratio 5.40 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.8500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.2
Dividend yield 3.7% payout 91.8%
Net margin 19.8% FY2025
Return on equity 8.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 34.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $478M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.4% 3y avg +5.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +176%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $183M FY2025
Net debt $1.6B FY2025 · ≈ 8.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Urban Edge Properties is a NYSE listed real estate investment trust focused on owning, managing, acquiring, developing, and redeveloping retail real estate. Specifically in urban communities, primarily in the Washington, D.C. to Boston corridor. Urban Edge owns 74 properties totaling 17.3 million square feet of gross leasable area.

Full company description

Urban Edge Properties is a NYSE listed real estate investment trust focused on owning, managing, acquiring, developing, and redeveloping retail real estate. Specifically in urban communities, primarily in the Washington, D.C. to Boston corridor. Urban Edge owns 74 properties totaling 17.3 million square feet of gross leasable area. Urban Edge Properties was incorporated in 2014 and is based in New York, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Urban Edge Properties reported revenue of $472M in FY2025 versus $425M in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $93.5M in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$472M
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+1.1% (−2.6 + 3.7)
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 $425M
FY22 $398M
FY23 $417M
FY24 $445M
FY25 $472M
Net income −2.3%/yr
FY21 $103M
FY22 $46.2M
FY23 $248M
FY24 $72.6M
FY25 $93.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.4 %

of which total revenue +3.7 % · buybacks/dilution −2.2 %

EBIT margin −3.8 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +9.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

UE screens 143% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Urban Edge Properties Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UE

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.25× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.43× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 6.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE27 · sector 22
PAST33 · sector 30
HEALTH38 · sector 67
DIVIDEND74 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simon Property Group SPG $212.32 $84.26 −60%
Realty Income Corporation O $61.98 $30.45 −51%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW €103.40 €98.09 −5%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $23.71 $12.49 −47%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U 2.38 SGD 0.9100 SGD −62%
Scentre Group SCG A$3.56 A$3.34 −6%
Regency Centers Corporation REG $75.92 $33.37 −56%
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 HK$39.76 HK$41.98 +6%
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT $116.75 $41.47 −64%
Brixmor Property Group BRX $29.50 $12.34 −58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Urban Edge Properties (UE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.72 versus a price of $21.16, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UE?
Our model-based fair value for Urban Edge Properties is $8.72 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.16.
What is the quality score of UE?
Urban Edge Properties has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Urban Edge Properties (UE)?
Urban Edge Properties reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $478M (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UE?
The net profit margin of Urban Edge Properties is about 22.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Urban Edge Properties pay a dividend?
Urban Edge Properties currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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