Scentre Group (SCG) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$20.5B (≈ $14.8B) · ISIN AU000000SCG8
What is Scentre Group really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of A$3.34.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (A$2.51 to A$4.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.91 – A$4.13 · fair‑value band A$2.51 – A$4.64 · the A$3.56 price screens above the A$3.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Scentre Group (SCG) currently trades at A$3.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.34, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$3.70 per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the A$3.56 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at A$1.01, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Scentre Group generated revenue of A$2.7B at a net margin of 66.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at A$14.6B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.51 (bear case) to A$4.64 (bull case); at A$3.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −6%, SCG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.1079 per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$3.70) versus Growth DCF (A$1.01). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Scentre Group owns 42 Westfield destinations across Australia and New Zealand encompassing approximately 12,000 outlets. Our Purpose is creating extraordinary places and experiences that connect, enrich and are essential to our communities. Our Ambition is to create the places more people choose to come, more often and for longer.
Full company description
Scentre Group owns 42 Westfield destinations across Australia and New Zealand encompassing approximately 12,000 outlets. Our Purpose is creating extraordinary places and experiences that connect, enrich and are essential to our communities. Our Ambition is to create the places more people choose to come, more often and for longer. Scentre Group was incorporated in June 30th, 2014 in Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Scentre Group reported revenue of A$2.7B in FY2025 versus A$2.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.8B in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $212.32 | $84.26 | −60% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $61.98 | $30.45 | −51% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.40 | €98.09 | −5% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $23.71 | $12.49 | −47% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.38 SGD | 0.9100 SGD | −62% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $75.92 | $33.37 | −56% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$39.76 | HK$41.98 | +6% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $116.75 | $41.47 | −64% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $29.50 | $12.34 | −58% |
| Agree Realty Corporation ADC | $73.20 | $38.85 | −47% |
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