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Regency Centers Corporation (REG) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $14.5B · ISIN US7588491032

What is Regency Centers Corporation really worth?

RC Regency Centers Corporation logo Regency Centers Corporation REG · US
Price$75.92
Fair Value$33.37
Upside−56.1%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 128% above our fair value of $33.37.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 33.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 67/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Trails peers (4/15)

For context

·3.85% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $31.27 – $44.22

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −4.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($44.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$82.68 $45.32 Fair Value $33.37 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $45.32 – $82.68 · fair‑value band $31.27 – $44.22 · the $75.92 price screens above the $33.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Regency Centers Corporation (REG) currently trades at $75.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.37, implying the stock looks roughly 127.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $48.97 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $75.92 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $16.68, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Regency Centers Corporation generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 33.1%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at $5.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $31.27 (bear case) to $44.22 (bull case); at $75.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −56%, REG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $31.12 $33.13 $36.70 76
5Y EBITDA Exit $23.65 $61.49 $107.01 71
FCF DCF $0.7800 $16.68 $41.90 69
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.7800 $16.68 $41.90 69
5Y Revenue Exit $2.24 $20.26 $43.76 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $23.65 $61.49 $107.01 71
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5800 $17.11 $40.33 58
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.29 $46.19 $89.94 63
Multiples
P/S Multiple $36.73 $48.97 $61.22 58
P/B Multiple $36.73 $48.97 $61.22 55
EV/EBIT $27.30 $44.59 $61.88 64
EV/EBITDA $42.16 $64.41 $86.65 66
EV/Revenue $4.04 $16.30 $28.56 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.86 $25.27 $37.72 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.04 $16.68 $41.45 68
Rev-Margin DCF $2.24 $20.05 $41.27 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $31.12 $33.13 $36.70 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($48.97) versus Growth DCF ($16.68). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 25.6
P/S ratio 8.67 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.91 price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.6
Dividend yield 3.8% payout 100%
Net margin 33.9% FY2025
Return on equity 8.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 40.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.0% 3y avg +6.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $394M FY2025
Net debt $5.8B FY2025 · ≈ 14.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Regency Centers Corporation is a fully integrated real estate company and self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust that began its operations as a publicly-traded REIT in 1993. The Company conducts substantially all of its operations, and owns, directly or indirectly, substantially all of its assets.

Full company description

Regency Centers Corporation is a fully integrated real estate company and self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust that began its operations as a publicly-traded REIT in 1993. The Company conducts substantially all of its operations, and owns, directly or indirectly, substantially all of its assets. Our business consists of acquiring, developing, owning, and operating income-producing retail real estate principally located in suburban trade areas with compelling demographics within the United States of America. Regency has been an S&P 500 Index member since 2017. We are a preeminent national owner, operator, and developer of neighborhood and community shopping centers. Our portfolio includes thriving properties merchandised with highly productive grocers, restaurants, service providers, and best-in-class retailers that connect with their neighborhoods, communities, and customers. Regency Centers Corporation was incorporated in 1963 and is based in Jacksonville, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Regency Centers Corporation reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $527M in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.6B
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+19.0% (15.2 + 3.8)
Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.6B
Net income +9.9%/yr
FY21 $361M
FY22 $483M
FY23 $365M
FY24 $400M
FY25 $527M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +3.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.5 %

of which total revenue +11.2 % · buybacks/dilution −6.9 %

EBIT margin +7.6 %
Tax rate +0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

REG screens 128% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Regency Centers Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/REG

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.67× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 36.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.70× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE50 · sector 22
PAST32 · sector 30
HEALTH67 · sector 67
DIVIDEND77 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simon Property Group SPG $212.32 $84.26 −60%
Realty Income Corporation O $61.98 $30.45 −51%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW €103.40 €98.09 −5%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $23.71 $12.49 −47%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U 2.38 SGD 0.9100 SGD −62%
Scentre Group SCG A$3.56 A$3.34 −6%
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 HK$39.76 HK$41.98 +6%
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT $116.75 $41.47 −64%
Brixmor Property Group BRX $29.50 $12.34 −58%
Agree Realty Corporation ADC $73.20 $38.85 −47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Regency Centers Corporation (REG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.37 versus a price of $75.92, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REG?
Our model-based fair value for Regency Centers Corporation is $33.37 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $75.92.
What is the quality score of REG?
Regency Centers Corporation has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Regency Centers Corporation (REG)?
Regency Centers Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of REG?
The net profit margin of Regency Centers Corporation is about 33.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Regency Centers Corporation pay a dividend?
Regency Centers Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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