Brixmor Property (BRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $9.5B · ISIN US11120U1051
What is Brixmor Property really worth?
Brixmor Property
BRX · US
A solid business, but trading 137% above our fair value of $12.34.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price −6.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($23.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($9.15 to $23.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.27 – $32.69 · fair‑value band $9.15 – $23.52 · the $29.27 price screens above the $12.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Brixmor Property (BRX) currently trades at $29.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.34, implying the stock looks roughly 137.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $20.97 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $29.27 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.57, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Brixmor Property generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 32.0%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at $5.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.15 (bear case) to $23.52 (bull case); at $29.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −58%, BRX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.1631 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($20.97) versus Asset-Based ($6.57). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Brixmor Property Group Inc. owns and operates a high-quality, national portfolio of open-air shopping centers. The Company's 344 retail centers comprise approximately 62 million square feet of prime retail space in established trade areas.
Full company description
Brixmor Property Group Inc. owns and operates a high-quality, national portfolio of open-air shopping centers. The Company's 344 retail centers comprise approximately 62 million square feet of prime retail space in established trade areas. Brixmor's properties reflect their vision (to be the center of the communities we serve) and are home to a diverse mix of thriving national, regional and local retailers. Brixmor is a valued partner to a broad range of retailers, including The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets and Ross Stores. Brixmor Property Group Inc. was established on May 27, 2011 and is based in New York, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Brixmor Property reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $386M in FY2025, compounding +9.3%/yr from FY2021.
BRX screens 137% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Why Brixmor Property (BRX) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio
- A Brixmor Director Trimmed His Stake. Here's What Long-Term Investors Should Know
- EVgo and Brixmor Expand Partnership to Provide More Fast Charging Choices for American Shoppers
- Brixmor Property (BRX) Could Be a Great Choice
Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $212.32 | $84.26 | −60% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $61.98 | $30.45 | −51% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.40 | €98.09 | −5% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $23.71 | $12.49 | −47% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.38 SGD | 0.9100 SGD | −62% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.56 | A$3.34 | −6% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $75.92 | $33.37 | −56% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$39.76 | HK$41.98 | +6% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $116.75 | $41.47 | −64% |
| Agree Realty Corporation ADC | $73.20 | $38.85 | −47% |
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