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Realty Income Corporation (O) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $56.2B · ISIN US7561091049

What is Realty Income Corporation really worth?

RI Realty Income Corporation logo Realty Income Corporation O · US
Price$61.74
Fair Value$30.45
Upside−50.7%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 103% above our fair value of $30.45.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +28.4 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 18.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trails peers (1/15)
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100

For context

·5.24% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $29.33 – $30.45

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($30.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($29.33 to $30.45), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$66.68 $39.83 Fair Value $30.45 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $39.83 – $66.68 · fair‑value band $29.33 – $30.45 · the $61.74 price screens above the $30.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Realty Income Corporation (O) currently trades at $61.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.45, implying the stock looks roughly 102.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $96.75 per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the $61.74 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $19.30, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Realty Income Corporation generated revenue of $5.9B at a net margin of 18.9%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at $32.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.33 (bear case) to $30.45 (bull case); at $61.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −51%, O screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $30.63 $29.99 $25.21 76
Growth DCF $32.21 $96.75 $200.56 72
FCF DCF $34.15 $85.21 $216.89 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $34.15 $85.21 $216.89 71
5Y Revenue Exit $1.69 $20.71 $46.33 64
5Y EBITDA Exit $28.47 $81.00 $151.04 70
10Y Revenue Exit $10.88 $34.02 $69.11 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $29.92 $80.52 $165.92 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $28.76 $59.80 $94.87 66
DDM Multi-Stage $28.76 $50.42 $62.76 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 58
P/B Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 55
EV/EBIT $0.5500 $10.14 $19.74 57
EV/EBITDA $28.52 $47.44 $66.36 65
EV/Revenue $1.25 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.15 $28.34 $42.29 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $32.21 $96.75 $200.56 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $30.63 $29.99 $25.21 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($96.75) versus Multiples ($19.30). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 50.6
P/S ratio 9.32 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.22 price ÷ EPS = P/E 50.6
Dividend yield 5.2%
Net margin 18.4% FY2025
Return on equity 2.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 45.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $5.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0% 3y avg +19.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.0B FY2025
Net debt $32.4B FY2025 · ≈ 8.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 24
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Realty Income Corporation, an S&P 500 company, is real estate partner to the world's leading companies. They serve their clients as a full-service real estate capital provider. As of March 31, 2026, They have a portfolio of over 15,500 properties in all 50 states of the United States (U.S.), the United Kingdom (U.K.), and eight other countries in Europe.

Full company description

Realty Income Corporation, an S&P 500 company, is real estate partner to the world's leading companies. They serve their clients as a full-service real estate capital provider. As of March 31, 2026, They have a portfolio of over 15,500 properties in all 50 states of the United States (U.S.), the United Kingdom (U.K.), and eight other countries in Europe. They are known as (The Monthly Dividend Company) and have a mission to invest in people and places to deliver dependable monthly dividends that increase over time. Since their founding, they have declared 671 consecutive monthly dividends and are a member of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats index for having increased dividend for over 31 consecutive years. The firm was founded and incorporated in 1969 in Maryland and is based in San Diego, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Realty Income Corporation reported revenue of $5.7B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +28.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +31.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.7B
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (32Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.1% (−1.1 + 5.2)
Revenue +28.9%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $4.1B
FY24 $5.3B
FY25 $5.7B
Net income +31.0%/yr
FY21 $359M
FY22 $869M
FY23 $872M
FY24 $861M
FY25 $1.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.9 %

of which total revenue +19.4 % · buybacks/dilution −12.9 %

EBIT margin −2.9 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

O screens 103% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Realty Income Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/O

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 46% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.68× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 9.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 14.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE60 · sector 22
PAST11 · sector 30
HEALTH66 · sector 67
DIVIDEND100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simon Property Group SPG $212.32 $84.26 −60%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW €103.40 €98.09 −5%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $23.71 $12.49 −47%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U 2.38 SGD 0.9100 SGD −62%
Scentre Group SCG A$3.56 A$3.34 −6%
Regency Centers Corporation REG $75.92 $33.37 −56%
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 HK$39.76 HK$41.98 +6%
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT $116.75 $41.47 −64%
Brixmor Property Group BRX $29.50 $12.34 −58%
Agree Realty Corporation ADC $73.20 $38.85 −47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Realty Income Corporation (O) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.45 versus a price of $61.74, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of O?
Our model-based fair value for Realty Income Corporation is $30.45 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $61.74.
What is the quality score of O?
Realty Income Corporation has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Realty Income Corporation (O)?
Realty Income Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of O?
The net profit margin of Realty Income Corporation is about 18.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Realty Income Corporation pay a dividend?
Realty Income Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.24% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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