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Link Real Estate Investment Trust (0823) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$102B (≈ $13.0B) · ISIN HK0823032773

What is Link Real Estate Investment Trust really worth?

LR Link Real Estate Investment Trust 0823 · HK
PriceHK$38.84
Fair ValueHK$41.98
Upside+8.1%
Quality56/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of HK$41.98.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -52.4% net margin
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·6.81% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range HK$26.41 – HK$57.54

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −0.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$26.41 to HK$57.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$56.13 HK$25.67 Fair Value HK$41.98 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$25.67 – HK$56.13 · fair‑value band HK$26.41 – HK$57.54 · the HK$38.84 price screens below the HK$41.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Link Real Estate Investment Trust (0823) currently trades at HK$38.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$41.98, implying the stock looks roughly 7.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$41.97 per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$38.84 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$27.31, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Link Real Estate Investment Trust generated revenue of HK$14.1B at a net margin of −52.4%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.0%. Net debt stands at HK$52.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$26.41 (bear case) to HK$57.54 (bull case); at HK$38.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at 8%, 0823 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$14.33 HK$31.80 HK$58.83 76
Growth DCF HK$14.78 HK$30.09 HK$52.27 75
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$19.96 HK$43.78 HK$71.77 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$14.33 HK$31.80 HK$58.83 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$11.23 HK$27.28 HK$47.79 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$19.96 HK$43.78 HK$71.77 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$11.25 HK$26.25 HK$46.50 63
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$17.65 HK$37.76 HK$64.98 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$22.00 HK$45.75 HK$72.57 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$22.00 HK$37.21 HK$48.01 66
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$39.70 HK$58.16 HK$76.63 65
EV/EBITDA HK$27.55 HK$41.97 HK$56.38 66
EV/Revenue HK$10.73 HK$22.06 HK$33.39 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$28.91 HK$38.74 HK$57.82 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$14.78 HK$30.09 HK$52.27 75
Rev-Margin DCF HK$11.23 HK$27.31 HK$45.99 69

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$41.97) versus Growth DCF (HK$27.31). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 7.03 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.6200
Dividend yield 6.8%
Net margin −52.8% FY2026
Return on equity −5.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 68.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$14.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.3% 3y avg +4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −5.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$6.8B FY2026
Net debt HK$52.6B FY2026 · ≈ 7.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) is the largest REIT in Asia by many measures including asset value. Managed by Link Asset Management Limited (Link), a leading, independent and fully integrated real estate investor and manager focusing on the APAC region, Link REIT has been entirely owned by independent investors since its listing in November …

Full company description

Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) is the largest REIT in Asia by many measures including asset value. Managed by Link Asset Management Limited (Link), a leading, independent and fully integrated real estate investor and manager focusing on the APAC region, Link REIT has been entirely owned by independent investors since its listing in November 2005 as the first REIT in Hong Kong. After initially acquiring a portfolio of shopping centres and car parks in Hong Kong valued at around 33 billion Hong Kong dollars at the time of its IPO, Link has grown and diversified the Link REIT's property portfolio. Today, the portfolio includes retail facilities, car parks, offices, and logistics assets which span Hong Kong, Mainland China, Australia, Singapore, and the UK, with a total valuation of around 226 billion Hong Kong dollars (As at 31 March 2025). Link aims to further grow and diversify the Link REIT portfolio to continue delivering resilient returns and growth to Unitholders. Link REIT is a constituent of the Hong Kong securities market benchmark Hang Seng Index, as well as a component of the Dow Jones Sustainability Asia Pacific Index, the FTSE4Good Index Series and the Hang Seng Corporate Sustainability Index. Asset management, portfolio management and capital management are three pillars of our management strengths. We are committed to integrating Environment, Social and Governance (ESG) considerations into our strategy and daily operations. Link Real Estate Investment Trust was incorporated in 2005 in Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Link Real Estate Investment Trust reported revenue of HK$14.0B in FY2026 versus HK$11.7B in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$7.4B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 32/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$14.0B
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY22 HK$11.7B
FY23 HK$12.3B
FY24 HK$13.6B
FY25 HK$14.2B
FY26 HK$14.0B
Net income
FY22 HK$6.9B
FY23 HK$15.5B
FY24 −HK$2.0B
FY25 −HK$8.9B
FY26 −HK$7.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Link Real Estate Investment Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0823

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −52% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 12.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE44 · sector 15
FUTURE0 · sector 22
PAST0 · sector 30
HEALTH85 · sector 67
DIVIDEND100 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simon Property Group SPG $212.32 $84.26 −60%
Realty Income Corporation O $61.98 $30.45 −51%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW €103.40 €98.09 −5%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $23.71 $12.49 −47%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U 2.38 SGD 0.9100 SGD −62%
Scentre Group SCG A$3.56 A$3.34 −6%
Regency Centers Corporation REG $75.92 $33.37 −56%
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT $116.75 $41.47 −64%
Brixmor Property Group BRX $29.50 $12.34 −58%
Agree Realty Corporation ADC $73.20 $38.85 −47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Link Real Estate Investment Trust (0823) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$41.98 versus a price of HK$38.84, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0823?
Our model-based fair value for Link Real Estate Investment Trust is HK$41.98 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$38.84.
What is the quality score of 0823?
Link Real Estate Investment Trust has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Link Real Estate Investment Trust (0823)?
Link Real Estate Investment Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$14.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0823?
The net profit margin of Link Real Estate Investment Trust is about −52.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Link Real Estate Investment Trust pay a dividend?
Link Real Estate Investment Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.81% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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