Pfizer Inc (PFE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 21, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pfizer Inc stock $24.87, price $29.85, upside -16.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Pfizer Inc
PFE · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
Our calculation puts a fair price 17% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.46 – $47.42 · fair‑value band $14.50 – $37.49 · the $29.85 price screens above the $24.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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Company profile
Pfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Biopharma, PC1, and Pfizer Ignite.
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The company offers internal medicine products, including cardiovascular metabolic diseases products under the Eliquis brand; migraine products under the Nurtec ODT/Vydura and Zavzpret brand; vaccines under the Prevnar family, Abrysvo, Nimenrix, FSME/IMMUN-TicoVac, and Trumenba brands; and Paxlovid for the treatment of COVID-19. It also provides inflammation and immunology products, such as Xeljanz, Enbrel, Cibinqo, Litfulo, Eucrisa, and Velsipity; rare disease products for therapeutic areas comprising amyloidosis, hemophilia, and endocrine diseases under the Vyndaqel family, Genotropin, BeneFIX, Xyntha, Somavert, Ngenla, and Hympavzi brands; and anti-infective and immunoglobulin medicines under the Zavicefta, Octagam, and Panzyga brands.
In addition, the company offers oncology products comprising ADCs, small molecules, bispecific, and other immunotherapies for the treatment of cancers, including breast cancer, genitourinary cancer, and hematologic malignancies, as well as melanoma, gastrointestinal, gynecological, and lung cancer under the Ibrance, Xtandi, Padcev, Adcetris, Inlyta, Lorbrena, Bosulif, Tukysa, Braftovi, Mektovi, Orgovyx, Elrexfio, Tivdak, and Talzenna brands.
Further, it provides biosimilars under the Inflectra brand; oncology biosimilars comprising Retacrit, Ruxience, Zirabev, Trazimera and Nivestym, and other biosimilars; and sterile injectables, such as Sulperazon, Atgam, Fragmin, Solu Medrol, Solu Cortef, and Bicillin.
The company has collaboration agreements with Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Astellas Pharma US, Inc.; Merck KGaA; and BioNTech SE, as well as a strategic collaboration with Boltz, PBC to develop and deploy biomolecular AI foundation models.
Pfizer Inc. was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Pfizer Inc (PFE) currently trades at $29.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.87, 16.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $29.99 per share, and 6 of the 23 models we run sit above the $29.85 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $14.82, and 17 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $14.50 (bear) to $37.49 (bull), the price of $29.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2020: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2020.
Pfizer Inc reported revenue of $62.6B in FY2025 versus $81.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $7.8B in FY2025, compounding −23.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $170B Large · P/E ratio 39.3 · P/S ratio 2.67 · EPS (TTM) $0.7600 · Dividend yield 5.8% · Net margin 6.8% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −17%, PFE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 23 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
PFE screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →
Compare Pfizer Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - General · 74 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanofi SNY | $40.97 | $70.57 | +72% | vs PFE |
| Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD | $156.51 | $198.77 | +27% | vs PFE |
| Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY | $61.68 | $75.96 | +23% | vs PFE |
| Amgen Inc AMGN | $438.94 | $482.83 | +10% | vs PFE |
| Novartis AG NOVN | CHF 124.20 | CHF 120.24 | −3% | vs PFE |
| AbbVie Inc ABBV | $289.08 | $259.62 | −10% | vs PFE |
| Merck & Co MRK | $148.30 | $129.26 | −13% | vs PFE |
| Roche Holding RO | CHF 385.60 | CHF 326.56 | −15% | vs PFE |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | $259.36 | $168.85 | −35% | vs PFE |
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,284 | $749.40 | −42% | vs PFE |
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Key figures of Pfizer Inc
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