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Gilead Sciences, Inc (GILD) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $167B

GS Gilead Sciences, Inc logo Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD · US
Price$138.14
Fair Value$146.50
Upside+6.1%
Quality83/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 31.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.34% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: High Range $106.45 – $258.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($106.45 to $258.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$153.91 $49.24 Fair Value $146.50 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $49.24 – $153.91 · fair‑value band $106.45 – $258.07 · the $138.14 price screens below the $146.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Gilead Sciences, Inc (GILD) currently trades at $138.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $146.50, implying the stock looks roughly 6.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Gilead Sciences, Inc generated revenue of $29.7B at a net margin of 31.0%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.4%. Net debt stands at $17.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $106.45 (bear case) to $258.07 (bull case); at $138.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 6%, GILD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $104.78 $212.54 $422.15 80
Residual Income $47.95 $64.06 $501.04 76
Rev-Margin DCF $60.39 $122.14 $215.29 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $111.04 $189.97 $424.08 38
Owner Earnings $123.64 $296.33 $658.85 31
5Y Revenue Exit $60.39 $111.10 $209.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $109.68 $216.38 $413.89 41
5Y P/E Exit $103.10 $227.93 $389.98 38
10Y Revenue Exit $72.90 $146.16 $219.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $109.94 $241.90 $486.65 37
10Y P/E Exit $105.28 $229.12 $444.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $46.61 $325.04 $456.15 54
Lynch FV $101.19 $144.56 $187.92 50
PEG = 1.0 $101.19 $144.56 $187.92 46
EPV $68.16 $81.48 $93.13 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $29.60 $61.55 $97.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage $29.60 $51.90 $64.60 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $113.09 $150.79 $188.49 63
P/S Multiple $62.25 $83.00 $103.75 58
P/B Multiple $61.48 $81.98 $102.47 55
EV/EBIT $108.43 $148.48 $188.54 53
EV/EBITDA $110.57 $151.33 $192.10 54
EV/Revenue $38.07 $59.41 $80.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.11 $12.21 $18.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $104.78 $212.54 $422.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $60.39 $122.14 $215.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $47.95 $64.06 $501.04 76
ROIC Compounder $87.90 $132.14 $193.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $138.96 $198.51 $258.07 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($216.38) versus Asset-Based ($12.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $29.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin 31.0%
Return on equity 43.4%
Free cash flow $9.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.1
More key figures
Operating margin 39.3%
EPS (TTM) $7.35
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +54.8%
Net debt $17.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 77
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gilead Sciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines in the areas of unmet medical need in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides Biktarvy, Descovy, Genvoya, Odefsey, Sunlenca, Symtuza, and YeztugoFor the treatment of HIV-1 infection in patients.

Full company description

Gilead Sciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines in the areas of unmet medical need in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides Biktarvy, Descovy, Genvoya, Odefsey, Sunlenca, Symtuza, and YeztugoFor the treatment of HIV-1 infection in patients. It also provides Epclusa, Livdelzi, and Vemlidy to treat chronic hepatitis C virus, primary biliary cholangitis, and chronic hepatitis B virus; Tecartus, a T-cell therapy for the treatment of adult patients; Trodelvy, an injection for intravenous use; and Yescarta, a suspension for intravenous infusion, is a CAR T-cell therapy for the treatment of adult patients. Further, it provides AmBisome, for the treatment of serious invasive fungal infections; and Veklury for the treatment of COVID-19. Additionally, the company engages in the development of various immunotherapies for patients with cancer and other incurable diseases. The company has collaboration agreements with Shenzhen Pregene Biopharma Co., Ltd.; Abingworth; Arcus Biosciences, Inc.; Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp.; Janssen Sciences Ireland Unlimited Company; Japan Tobacco, Inc.; Everest Medicines; Merck & Co, Inc.; Tentarix Biotherapeutics Inc.; and Assembly Biosciences, Inc. It also has research collaboration, option, and license agreement with Merus N.V. for the discovery of novel dual tumor-associated antigens (TAA) targeting trispecific antibodies. The company has a collaboration with Terray Therapeutics, Inc. to discover and develop small molecule therapies; and LEO Pharma to develop, manufacture, and commercialize the small molecule oral STAT6 program. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gilead Sciences, Inc reported revenue of $29.4B in FY2025 versus $27.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was $8.5B in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.4B
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (35Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.2%
Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY21 $27.3B
FY22 $27.3B
FY23 $27.1B
FY24 $28.8B
FY25 $29.4B
Net income +8.1%/yr
FY21 $6.2B
FY22 $4.6B
FY23 $5.7B
FY24 $480M
FY25 $8.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −9.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.7 pp

of which total revenue −0.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.1 pp

EBIT margin −9.9 pp
Tax rate +2.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gilead Sciences, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GILD

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.98× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 7.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.14× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 0
FUTURE 22 · sector 25
PAST 100 · sector 49
HEALTH 51 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 47 · sector 44

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,220 $389.47 -68%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $260.86 $169.04 -35%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $248.76 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €240.14 -39%
Merck & Co MRK €115.42 €118.21 +2%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 1,964 MXN -28%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $158.50 $127.32 -20%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 299.50 kr 409.46 +37%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,041 MXN +35%
GSK plc GSKN 917.00 MXN 879.08 MXN -4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gilead Sciences, Inc (GILD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $146.50 versus a price of $138.14, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GILD?
Our model-based fair value for Gilead Sciences, Inc is $146.50 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $138.14.
What is the quality score of GILD?
Gilead Sciences, Inc has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gilead Sciences, Inc (GILD)?
Gilead Sciences, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $29.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GILD?
The net profit margin of Gilead Sciences, Inc is about 31.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gilead Sciences, Inc pay a dividend?
Gilead Sciences, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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