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Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $124B · ISIN US1101221083

What is Bristol-Myers Squibb Company really worth?

BM Bristol-Myers Squibb Company logo Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY · US
Price$68.09
Fair Value$75.98
Upside+11.6%
Quality80/100

A strong business, trading 10% below our fair value of $75.98.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 15.0% net margin
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Wide moat 82/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.5 %/yr)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Weak on future: 13 out of 100

For context

·3.67% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $48.90 – $94.98

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +3.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($48.90 to $94.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$68.71 $35.96 Fair Value $75.98 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $35.96 – $68.71 · fair‑value band $48.90 – $94.98 · the $68.09 price screens below the $75.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) currently trades at $68.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.98, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $71.70 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the $68.09 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $20.03, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company generated revenue of $48.5B at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.7%. Net debt stands at $36.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $48.90 (bear case) to $94.98 (bull case); at $68.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 12%, BMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.7241 per share, which is 1.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $54.13 $90.83 $145.76 79
Growth DCF $55.59 $88.51 $135.05 77
Owner Earnings $37.25 $65.12 $106.82 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $54.13 $90.83 $145.76 79
Owner Earnings $37.25 $65.12 $106.82 74
5Y Revenue Exit $39.18 $67.59 $103.03 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $57.99 $102.27 $153.10 74
5Y P/E Exit $41.41 $71.70 $102.72 70
10Y Revenue Exit $42.51 $69.50 $104.21 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $55.92 $93.40 $141.93 67
10Y P/E Exit $45.41 $72.33 $103.98 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $23.49 $67.88 $89.59 65
Lynch FV $14.02 $20.03 $26.04 61
PEG = 1.0 $14.02 $20.03 $26.04 57
EPV $32.63 $40.73 $47.82 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $22.68 $47.16 $74.82 66
DDM Multi-Stage $22.68 $36.33 $49.50 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $56.99 $75.98 $94.98 63
P/S Multiple $44.04 $58.72 $73.39 58
P/B Multiple $30.53 $40.71 $50.88 55
EV/EBIT $63.29 $89.71 $116.13 65
EV/EBITDA $69.92 $98.56 $127.19 67
EV/Revenue $33.58 $54.82 $76.06 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.52 $6.06 $9.05 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $55.59 $88.51 $135.05 77
Rev-Margin DCF $39.18 $68.17 $101.01 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.61 $25.15 $108.35 64
ROIC Compounder $35.71 $48.84 $63.86 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $45.76 $65.37 $84.98 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($71.70) versus Asset-Based ($6.06). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 19.1
P/S ratio 2.79 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.57 price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.1
Dividend yield 3.7% payout 70.0%
Net margin 14.6% FY2025
Return on equity 38.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 33.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $48.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6% 3y avg +1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $12.8B FY2025
Net debt $36.9B FY2025 · ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company discovers, develops, licenses, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide. It offers products for oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, neuroscience.

Full company description

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company discovers, develops, licenses, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide. It offers products for oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, neuroscience. The company's products include Opdivo for various anti-cancer indications; Opdivo Qvantig, a subcutaneous PD-1 inhibitor for solid tumorsr; Orencia for active rheumatoid arthritis and psoriatic arthritis; Yervoy for the treatment of unresectable or metastatic melanoma; Reblozyl to treat anemia; Breyanzi for the treatment of relapsed or refractory large B-cell lymphoma; Opdualag for the treatment of unresectable or metastatic melanoma; and Camzyos to treat symptomatic obstructive HCM. It also offers Zeposia to treat relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis; Abecma for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma; Sotyktu for the treatment of moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis; Krazati for the treatment of KRASG12C-mutated locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); and Cobenfy to treat schizophrenia. In addition, it offers Eliquis for a reduction in risk of stroke/systemic embolism and for the treatment of DVT/PE; Revlimid, an oral immunomodulatory drug to treat multiple myeloma; Pomalyst/Imnovid for multiple myeloma; Sprycel for Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic myeloid leukemia; and Abraxane for the treatment of breast cancer. Further, it provides Augtyro for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic ROS1-positive NSCLC; and NSCLC and pancreatic cancer. It sells products to wholesalers, distributors, specialty pharmacies, retailers, hospitals, clinics, and government agencies. Bristol-Myers Squibb Company has a strategic collaboration with Arcus Biosciences, Inc. to develop a novel treatment regimen that delivers tumor control in kidney cancer. The company was formerly known as Bristol-Myers Company. The company was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company reported revenue of $48.2B in FY2025 versus $46.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $7.1B in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$48.2B
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (38Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+9.9% (6.2 + 3.7)
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 $46.4B
FY22 $46.2B
FY23 $45.0B
FY24 $48.3B
FY25 $48.2B
Net income +0.2%/yr
FY21 $7.0B
FY22 $6.3B
FY23 $8.0B
FY24 −$8.9B
FY25 $7.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.1 %

of which total revenue +11.6 % · buybacks/dilution −2.3 %

EBIT margin −0.4 %
Tax rate +0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 75 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.32× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.55× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.53× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE49 · sector 0
FUTURE13 · sector 29
PAST100 · sector 49
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND73 · sector 42

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,176 $389.47 −67%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $265.77 $169.04 −36%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $258.15 $67.72 −74%
Roche Holding RO CHF 374.60 CHF 306.54 −18%
Merck & Co MRK €131.98 €101.38 −23%
Novartis AG NOVN CHF 123.74 CHF 114.90 −7%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 295.50 kr 409.46 +39%
Amgen Inc AMGN $436.99 $252.02 −42%
Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD $148.86 $146.50 −2%
Pfizer Inc PFE $28.02 $24.87 −11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $75.98 versus a price of $68.09, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BMY?
Our model-based fair value for Bristol-Myers Squibb Company is $75.98 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $68.09.
What is the quality score of BMY?
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY)?
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $48.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BMY?
The net profit margin of Bristol-Myers Squibb Company is about 15.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bristol-Myers Squibb Company pay a dividend?
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.67% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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