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Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $11.9B · ISIN US1910981026

What is Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. really worth?

CC Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. logo Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. COKE · US
Price$197.40
Fair Value$192.07
Upside−2.7%
Quality76/100

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value of $192.07.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.6 %/yr)
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100

For context

·0.51% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $103.05 – $265.01

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $195.28 to $192.07 (−1.6%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price +9.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($103.05 to $265.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$216.63 $36.50 Fair Value $192.07 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $36.50 – $216.63 · fair‑value band $103.05 – $265.01 · the $197.40 price screens above the $192.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) currently trades at $197.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $192.07, implying the stock looks roughly 2.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $212.01 per share, and 6 of the 23 models we run sit above the $197.40 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $24.16, and 17 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. generated revenue of $7.5B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 135.2%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $103.05 (bear case) to $265.01 (bull case); at $197.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −3%, COKE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.26 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $85.68 $162.27 $281.83 77
Growth DCF $87.36 $154.15 $251.44 76
EPV $83.56 $104.58 $122.97 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $85.68 $162.27 $281.83 77
Owner Earnings $55.32 $113.78 $205.03 73
5Y Revenue Exit $86.06 $168.12 $273.97 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $120.05 $232.77 $366.16 73
5Y P/E Exit $94.96 $185.04 $280.84 69
10Y Revenue Exit $80.55 $156.01 $259.73 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $106.53 $201.31 $331.22 66
10Y P/E Exit $90.43 $167.86 $265.06 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $68.65 $231.38 $310.08 64
Lynch FV $52.79 $75.41 $98.04 61
PEG = 1.0 $52.79 $75.41 $98.04 57
EPV $83.56 $104.58 $122.97 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.08 $29.28 $46.45 66
DDM Multi-Stage $14.08 $24.16 $30.73 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $159.01 $212.01 $265.01 63
P/S Multiple $128.72 $171.63 $214.53 58
EV/EBIT $171.93 $243.41 $314.90 65
EV/EBITDA $159.16 $226.40 $293.63 67
EV/Revenue $91.75 $149.30 $206.85 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $87.36 $154.15 $251.44 76
Rev-Margin DCF $86.06 $167.65 $263.39 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $90.94 $122.17 $155.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $135.24 $193.20 $251.16 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($212.01) versus Dividend Discount ($24.16). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 24.6 as of Jul 13, 2026
P/S ratio 1.94 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $7.30 price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.6
Dividend yield 0.5% payout 13.7%
Net margin 7.9% FY2025
Return on equity 135% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 17.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $7.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3% 3y avg +5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +266%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $625M FY2025
Net debt $2.7B FY2025 · ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages in the United States. It operates through Nonalcoholic Beverages and All Other segments.

Full company description

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages in the United States. It operates through Nonalcoholic Beverages and All Other segments. The company offers sparkling beverages; still beverages, including energy products; noncarbonated beverages, such as bottled water, ready to drink coffee and tea, enhanced water, juices, and sports drinks. It also sells its products to other Coca-Cola bottlers; and post-mix products that are dispensed through equipment, which mix the fountain syrups with carbonated or still water enabling fountain retailers to sell finished products to consumers in cups or glasses. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes various other beverage brands comprising Dr Pepper and Monster Energy. It sells and distributes its products directly to customers, including grocery stores, mass merchandise stores, club stores, convenience stores and drug stores, restaurants, schools, amusement parks, and recreational facilities, as well as vending machine outlets. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated and changed its name to Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. in January 2019. Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $571M in FY2025, compounding +31.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.2B
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+30.6% (30.1 + 0.5)
Revenue +6.8%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $6.2B
FY23 $6.7B
FY24 $6.9B
FY25 $7.2B
Net income +31.7%/yr
FY21 $190M
FY22 $430M
FY23 $408M
FY24 $633M
FY25 $571M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +31.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.0 %

of which total revenue +12.5 % · buybacks/dilution +0.5 %

EBIT margin +12.9 %
Tax rate +2.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COKE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 135% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.6× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE30 · sector 19
FUTURE42 · sector 43
PAST100 · sector 51
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND10 · sector 54

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.72 $106.91 −23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $46.70 $35.82 −23%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$42.54 HK$30.90 −27%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €70.86 −23%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $32.18 $30.99 −4%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $112.58 $108.50 −4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €53.10 €46.77 −12%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹431.00 ₹187.49 −56%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥123.07 ¥107.57 −13%
MIXUE Group 2097 HK$232.60 HK$307.46 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $192.07 versus a price of $197.40, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of COKE?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is $192.07 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $197.40.
What is the quality score of COKE?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COKE?
The net profit margin of Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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