Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $42.5B
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
KDP · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($16.23 to $40.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.70 – $35.90 · fair‑value band $16.23 – $40.11 · the $31.12 price screens above the $30.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) currently trades at $31.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.99, implying the stock looks roughly 0.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generated revenue of $16.9B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at $15.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $16.23 (bear case) to $40.11 (bull case); at $31.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 0%, KDP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($40.34) versus Asset-Based ($12.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when KDP reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International.
Full company description
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. It manufactures and distributes branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages, as well as sales of owned brands and third-party brands; tea, cocoa, and other products; and offers finished goods relating to K-Cup pods, single serve brewers, specialty coffee, and ready to drink coffee products. The company offers its products under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Mott's, A&W, Peñafiel, GHOST, Snapple, 7UP, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Clamato, Core Hydration, The Original Donut Shop, Sunkist soda, Squirt, C4 Energy, Hawaiian Punch, Electrolit, Bloom, Bai, Evian, Yoo-Hoo, Vita Coco, Big Red, RC Cola, Crush, McCafé, Tim Hortons, Van Houtte, Celestial Seasonings, Bigelow, Starbucks, Dunkin', Folgers, Peet's, 7up Energy, and Swiss Miss brands, as well as other partner and private label brands. It markets and sells its products to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, e-commerce retailers, office superstores, vending machines, fountains, grocery and drug stores, convenience stores, and other small outlets; and directly to consumers through Keurig.com website. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Frisco, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc reported revenue of $16.6B in FY2025 versus $12.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $2.1B in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch KDP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Following Q2 Earnings Beat Is The Undervalued View Too Easy
- Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Keurig Q2 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates on JDE Peet's Strength
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $86.71 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $138.70 | $106.91 | -23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $45.98 | $35.82 | -22% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$42.54 | HK$30.90 | -27% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €70.86 | -23% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOFUBL | 180.76 MXN | 159.53 MXN | -12% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €54.20 | €46.77 | -14% |
| Arca Continental, S.A. AC | 198.23 MXN | 242.13 MXN | +22% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹438.45 | ₹187.49 | -57% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥127.90 | ¥107.57 | -16% |
Compare Keurig Dr Pepper Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of KDP?
What is the quality score of KDP?
What is the revenue of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)?
What is the net profit margin of KDP?
Does Keurig Dr Pepper Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Keurig Dr Pepper Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.