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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $46.5B

CC Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC logo Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP · US
Price$107.48
Fair Value$78.27
Upside-27.2%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.29% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $42.37 – $129.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $79.13 to $78.27 (−1.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($42.37 to $129.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$111.71 $37.63 Fair Value $78.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $37.63 – $111.71 · fair‑value band $42.37 – $129.01 · the $107.48 price screens above the $78.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) currently trades at $107.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $78.27, implying the stock looks roughly 27.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC generated revenue of $20.9B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.9%. Net debt stands at $9.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $42.37 (bear case) to $129.01 (bull case); at $107.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -27%, CCEP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $29.85 $52.08 $83.26 80
Residual Income $27.98 $36.09 $152.81 76
Rev-Margin DCF $27.69 $54.85 $85.15 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $28.76 $53.35 $89.78 38
Owner Earnings $32.75 $59.37 $98.80 31
5Y Revenue Exit $27.69 $54.62 $88.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $43.60 $83.74 $129.76 41
5Y P/E Exit $36.79 $71.28 $106.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit $26.15 $50.60 $82.21 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $37.68 $70.58 $113.14 37
10Y P/E Exit $33.38 $62.03 $95.85 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $29.82 $82.77 $108.75 54
Lynch FV $16.58 $23.68 $30.79 50
PEG = 1.0 $16.58 $23.68 $30.79 46
EPV $27.57 $35.47 $42.38 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $18.46 $38.39 $60.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage $18.46 $29.09 $40.29 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $69.08 $92.11 $115.13 63
P/S Multiple $55.92 $74.56 $93.20 58
P/B Multiple $55.92 $74.56 $93.20 55
EV/EBIT $60.61 $87.42 $114.23 53
EV/EBITDA $61.21 $88.22 $115.23 54
EV/Revenue $29.75 $50.99 $72.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.85 $11.86 $17.70 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.85 $52.08 $83.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF $27.69 $54.85 $85.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.98 $36.09 $152.81 76
ROIC Compounder $29.42 $41.98 $56.99 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $54.98 $78.54 $102.10 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($78.54) versus Asset-Based ($11.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $20.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net margin 9.3%
Return on equity 22.9%
Free cash flow $1.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
Operating margin 13.7%
EPS (TTM) $4.96
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +68.3%
Net debt $9.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells a range of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. It offers flavours, mixers, energy drinks, soft drinks, water, enhanced water, isotonic drinks, tea and coffee, juices, and other drinks.

Full company description

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells a range of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. It offers flavours, mixers, energy drinks, soft drinks, water, enhanced water, isotonic drinks, tea and coffee, juices, and other drinks. The company provides its products under the Coca-Cola Original Taste, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Diet Coke, Sprite, Sprite Zero Sugar, Fanta, Fanta Zero Sugar, Monster Energy, A&W, Absolut Vodka & SPRITE, Ades, Appletiser, aquaBona, Aquarius, BACARDÍ Mixed with Coca Cola RTD, Barista Bros, Bonaqua, BURN, Deep Spring, Dr Pepper, Dr Pepper Zero Sugar, Feral Brewing Co, Fuze Tea, Giancarlo Coffee, GLACEAU smartwater, Grinders, HALO, Jack Daniel's & Coca-Cola ready-to-drink, Kristal, L&P, MER, Minute Maid, Mother, Mount Franklin, Nordic Mist, Nutriboost, Oasis, Pulpy, pump, pumped, Reign, Rekorderlig Cider, Relentless, Royal, Royal Bliss, Schweppes, Schweppes Mix, SOCO, URGE, Vilas del Turbón, Voyage, Wilkins Pure, and Zephyr Coffee Co brands. It is also involved in the bottling and other operations. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola European Partners plc and changed its name to Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC in May 2021. The company was founded in 1904 and is based in Uxbridge, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC reported revenue of $20.9B in FY2025 versus $13.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$20.9B
Latest YoY
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Revenue +11.0%/yr
FY21 $13.8B
FY22 $17.3B
FY23 $18.3B
FY24 $20.4B
FY25 $20.9B
Net income +18.6%/yr
FY21 $982M
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $1.4B
FY25 $1.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.4 pp

of which total revenue +11.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.5 pp

EBIT margin +1.3 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CCEP screens 27% overvalued. Compare with PepsiCo, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCEP

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.24× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.23× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 23.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 1 · sector 46
PAST 92 · sector 50
HEALTH 38 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $86.71 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $138.70 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $45.98 $35.82 -22%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$42.54 HK$30.90 -27%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $29.56 $30.99 +5%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOFUBL 180.76 MXN 159.53 MXN -12%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €54.20 €46.77 -14%
Arca Continental, S.A. AC 198.23 MXN 242.13 MXN +22%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹438.45 ₹187.49 -57%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥127.90 ¥107.57 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $78.27 versus a price of $107.48, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CCEP?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC is $78.27 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $107.48.
What is the quality score of CCEP?
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP)?
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CCEP?
The net profit margin of Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC is about 9.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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