Coca-Cola European Partners PLC (CCEP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $46.5B · ISIN GB00BDCPN049
What is Coca-Cola European Partners PLC really worth?
A solid business, but trading 39% above our fair value of $78.27.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $79.13 to $78.27 (−1.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($42.37 to $129.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $37.63 – $111.71 · fair‑value band $42.37 – $129.01 · the $109.15 price screens above the $78.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Coca-Cola European Partners PLC (CCEP) currently trades at $109.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $78.27, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $78.54 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $109.15 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.86, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola European Partners PLC generated revenue of $20.9B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.9%. Net debt stands at $9.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $42.37 (bear case) to $129.01 (bull case); at $109.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −28%, CCEP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.94 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($78.54) versus Asset-Based ($11.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells a range of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. It offers flavours, mixers, energy drinks, soft drinks, water, enhanced water, isotonic drinks, tea and coffee, juices, and other drinks.
Full company description
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells a range of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. It offers flavours, mixers, energy drinks, soft drinks, water, enhanced water, isotonic drinks, tea and coffee, juices, and other drinks. The company provides its products under the Coca-Cola Original Taste, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Diet Coke, Sprite, Sprite Zero Sugar, Fanta, Fanta Zero Sugar, Monster Energy, A&W, Absolut Vodka & SPRITE, Ades, Appletiser, aquaBona, Aquarius, BACARDÍ Mixed with Coca Cola RTD, Barista Bros, Bonaqua, BURN, Deep Spring, Dr Pepper, Dr Pepper Zero Sugar, Feral Brewing Co, Fuze Tea, Giancarlo Coffee, GLACEAU smartwater, Grinders, HALO, Jack Daniel's & Coca-Cola ready-to-drink, Kristal, L&P, MER, Minute Maid, Mother, Mount Franklin, Nordic Mist, Nutriboost, Oasis, Pulpy, pump, pumped, Reign, Rekorderlig Cider, Relentless, Royal, Royal Bliss, Schweppes, Schweppes Mix, SOCO, URGE, Vilas del Turbón, Voyage, Wilkins Pure, and Zephyr Coffee Co brands. It is also involved in the bottling and other operations. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola European Partners plc and changed its name to Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC in May 2021. The company was founded in 1904 and is based in Uxbridge, United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Coca-Cola European Partners PLC reported revenue of €20.9B in FY2025 versus €13.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was €1.9B in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.9 % · buybacks/dilution −4.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CCEP screens 39% overvalued. Compare with PepsiCo, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Notable ETF Inflow Detected - IEUR, SPOT, CCEP, BWLP
- PRMB or CCEP: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- CCEP (CCEP) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $89.06 | $36.57 | −59% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.72 | $106.91 | −23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $46.70 | $35.82 | −23% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$42.54 | HK$30.90 | −27% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $32.18 | $30.99 | −4% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $112.58 | $108.50 | −4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €53.10 | €46.77 | −12% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹431.00 | ₹187.49 | −56% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥123.07 | ¥107.57 | −13% |
| MIXUE Group 2097 | HK$232.60 | HK$307.46 | +32% |
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