Eastroc Beverage Group Co Ltd (605499) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 92.5B CNY (≈ $13.8B) · ISIN CNE100005576
What is Eastroc Beverage Group Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 12% above our fair value of ¥107.57.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥80.33 to ¥360.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥36.07 – ¥252.22 · fair‑value band ¥80.33 – ¥360.41 · the ¥120.41 price screens above the ¥107.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Eastroc Beverage Group Co Ltd (605499) currently trades at ¥120.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥107.57, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥277.24 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥120.41 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥58.74, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Eastroc Beverage Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 21.9B CNY at a net margin of 21.4%. Revenue grew 21.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.2%. Net debt stands at 950M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥80.33 (bear case) to ¥360.41 (bull case); at ¥120.41, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −11%, 605499 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥2.08 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥277.24) versus Asset-Based (¥9.34). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of beverages in the People's Republic of China. The company offers energy, sports, tea, coffee, plant-based protein, electrolytes, and fruit and vegetable juice beverages.
Full company description
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of beverages in the People's Republic of China. The company offers energy, sports, tea, coffee, plant-based protein, electrolytes, and fruit and vegetable juice beverages. It also provides eastroc beverages, including eastroc ewater, eastroc coffee master, eastroc tea, eastroc milk tea, eastroc roasted good tea, and eastroc coco island. In addition, the company engages in international trade business, as well as provision of supply chain management services. It primarily exports its products to the United States, South Korea, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Indonesia. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Eastroc Beverage Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co., Ltd. in March 2018. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Eastroc Beverage Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 20.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +31.5%/yr. Reported net income was 4.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +38.7%/yr from FY2021.
605499 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $89.06 | $36.57 | −59% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.72 | $106.91 | −23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $46.70 | $35.82 | −23% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$42.54 | HK$30.90 | −27% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €70.86 | −23% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $32.18 | $30.99 | −4% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $112.58 | $108.50 | −4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €53.10 | €46.77 | −12% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹431.00 | ₹187.49 | −56% |
| MIXUE Group 2097 | HK$232.60 | HK$307.46 | +32% |
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