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Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $23.0B · ISIN US1912411089

What is Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR really worth?

CC Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR logo Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR KOF · US
Price$112.51
Fair Value$108.50
Upside−3.6%
Quality59/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $108.50.

Watch Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

Strengths

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100
!Weak on future: 6 out of 100

For context

·3.73% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $51.59 – $175.19

Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Sep 1, 2026, revised from $108.87 to $108.50 (−0.3%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +3.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($51.59 to $175.19). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$116.90 $39.78 Fair Value $108.50 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $39.78 – $116.90 · fair‑value band $51.59 – $175.19 · the $112.51 price screens above the $108.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) currently trades at $112.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $108.50, implying the stock looks roughly 3.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $1,057 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $112.51 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $332.17, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR generated revenue of $293B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at $54.6B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $51.59 (bear case) to $175.19 (bull case); at $112.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −4%, KOF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $113.90 $339.29 $707.62 74
EPV $1,051 $1,262 $1,446 74
Owner Earnings $785.71 $1,470 $2,588 73
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $113.90 $339.29 $707.62 74
Owner Earnings $785.71 $1,470 $2,588 73
5Y Revenue Exit $837.29 $1,767 $3,023 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $1,420 $2,914 $4,757 73
5Y P/E Exit $973.36 $2,035 $3,216 68
10Y Revenue Exit $534.31 $1,331 $2,526 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $960.51 $2,149 $3,914 65
10Y P/E Exit $670.04 $1,522 $2,681 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $771.82 $3,010 $4,083 64
Lynch FV $739.70 $1,057 $1,374 61
PEG = 1.0 $739.70 $1,057 $1,374 57
EPV $1,051 $1,262 $1,446 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $645.01 $1,341 $2,128 66
DDM Multi-Stage $645.01 $1,131 $1,408 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1,788 $2,384 $2,979 63
P/S Multiple $1,447 $1,930 $2,412 58
P/B Multiple $1,447 $1,930 $2,412 55
EV/EBIT $2,249 $3,070 $3,892 66
EV/EBITDA $2,311 $3,153 $3,996 67
EV/Revenue $1,242 $1,867 $2,492 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $347.96 $466.27 $695.92 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $115.43 $332.17 $682.81 72
Rev-Margin DCF $837.29 $1,733 $2,823 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $743.52 $931.55 $2,178 70
ROIC Compounder $1,162 $1,614 $2,213 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1,324 $1,892 $2,459 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1,930) versus Growth DCF ($332.17). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.08 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.4500
Dividend yield 3.7%
Net margin 8.2% FY2025
Return on equity 15.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 12.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $293B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.1% 3y avg +8.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −15.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $5.7B FY2025
Net debt $54.6B FY2025 · ≈ 9.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay.

Full company description

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas and flavored sparkling beverages; waters; and other non-carbonated beverages, including tea, sports drinks, energy drinks, fruit-based beverages, juice, coffee, milk, value-added dairy, and plant-based drinks. It also distributes and sells beer products under the Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis brands; alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages, such as Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer; and Monster products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail outlets, wholesale supermarkets, discount and convenience stores, retailers, points-of-sale outlets, restaurants and bars, stadiums, auditoriums, theaters, and home deliveries. Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR reported revenue of 292B MXN in FY2025 versus 195B MXN in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was 23.8B MXN in FY2025, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$292B
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MXN) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+85.2% (81.5 + 3.7)
Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 195B MXN
FY22 227B MXN
FY23 245B MXN
FY24 280B MXN
FY25 292B MXN
Net income +11.0%/yr
FY21 15.7B MXN
FY22 19.0B MXN
FY23 19.5B MXN
FY24 23.7B MXN
FY25 23.8B MXN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.3 %

of which total revenue +6.1 % · buybacks/dilution +3.9 %

EBIT margin −0.6 %
Tax rate −0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR · Fair Value
$108.50 −4%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Below median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.50× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 23.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE29 · sector 19
FUTURE6 · sector 43
PAST63 · sector 51
HEALTH75 · sector 97
DIVIDEND75 · sector 54

Insider activity: 20/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $89.06 $36.57 −59%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.72 $106.91 −23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $46.70 $35.82 −23%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$42.54 HK$30.90 −27%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €70.86 −23%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $32.18 $30.99 −4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €53.10 €46.77 −12%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹431.00 ₹187.49 −56%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥123.07 ¥107.57 −13%
MIXUE Group 2097 HK$232.60 HK$307.46 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $108.50 versus a price of $112.51, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KOF?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR is $108.50 (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $112.51.
What is the quality score of KOF?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF)?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $293B (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KOF?
The net profit margin of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 1, 2026).
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