CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $22.7B · ISIN US12541W2098
What is CH Robinson Worldwide Inc really worth?
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc
CHRW · US
A solid business, but trading 69% above our fair value of $86.56.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −5.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($111.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $64.74 – $209.42 · fair‑value band $63.50 – $111.31 · the $146.69 price screens above the $86.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) currently trades at $146.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $86.56, implying the stock looks roughly 69.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $103.93 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $146.69 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.49, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, CH Robinson Worldwide Inc generated revenue of $16.2B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.8%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $63.50 (bear case) to $111.31 (bull case); at $146.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −41%, CHRW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.66 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($103.93) versus Asset-Based ($10.49). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding.
Full company description
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. The company offers transportation and logistics services, such as truckload; less than truckload transportation brokerage services, which include the shipment of single or multiple pallets of freight; intermodal transportation that comprises the shipment service of freight in containers or trailers by a combination of truck and rail; and non-vessel operating common carrier and freight forwarding services, as well as organizes indirect air carrier and freight forwarder providing door-to-door services. It also provides customs brokerage services; and other logistics services, such as fee-based managed, warehousing, supply chain consulting and optimization services, and other services. In addition, the company is involved in the buying, selling, and/or marketing of fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishable items under the Robinson Fresh trade name. Further, the company offers transportation management and other surface transportation services. It provides fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers. C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc reported revenue of $16.2B in FY2025 versus $23.1B in FY2021, a compound −8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $587M in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.8 % · buybacks/dilution +2.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CHRW screens 69% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Why Is C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Up 2.9% Since Last Earnings Report?
- CHRW Plunges 30% in the Past Month as Freight Risks Test the Recovery
- CHRW Q2 Earnings Jump as Lean AI Drives Stronger Operating Margins
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 206 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $105.33 | $103.34 | −2% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $330.88 | $347.68 | +5% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €56.14 | €53.18 | −5% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,358 | kr 712.57 | −48% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 219.90 | CHF 147.92 | −33% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $256.48 | $133.80 | −48% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $190.97 | $115.95 | −39% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO | $21.50 | $28.62 | +33% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 196,700 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +138% |
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