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Kuehne & Nagel (KNIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 24.9B · ISIN CH0025238863

What is Kuehne & Nagel really worth?

KN Kuehne & Nagel KNIN · SW
PriceCHF 211.30
Fair ValueCHF 147.92
Upside−30.0%
Quality65/100

A solid business, but trading 43% above our fair value of CHF 147.92.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 55/100

For context

·2.84% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range CHF 104.19 – CHF 191.65

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 191.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 104.19 to CHF 191.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 302.30 CHF 143.13 Fair Value CHF 147.92 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 143.13 – CHF 302.30 · fair‑value band CHF 104.19 – CHF 191.65 · the CHF 211.30 price screens above the CHF 147.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kuehne & Nagel (KNIN) currently trades at CHF 211.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 147.92, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 167.60 per share, and 2 of the 25 models we run sit above the CHF 211.30 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at CHF 50.53, and 23 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kuehne & Nagel generated revenue of CHF 23.7B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.3%. Net debt stands at CHF 3.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 104.19 (bear case) to CHF 191.65 (bull case); at CHF 211.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −30%, KNIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly CHF 0.6998 per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF CHF 136.86 CHF 195.48 CHF 278.07 78
Growth DCF CHF 141.19 CHF 196.20 CHF 270.67 77
Owner Earnings CHF 137.31 CHF 196.11 CHF 278.97 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 136.86 CHF 195.48 CHF 278.07 78
Owner Earnings CHF 137.31 CHF 196.11 CHF 278.97 74
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 104.92 CHF 151.35 CHF 207.48 71
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 146.25 CHF 224.19 CHF 310.36 73
5Y P/E Exit CHF 114.14 CHF 167.60 CHF 219.96 69
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 113.06 CHF 156.50 CHF 208.36 65
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 141.46 CHF 205.50 CHF 282.72 66
10Y P/E Exit CHF 121.46 CHF 167.43 CHF 217.38 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 50.50 CHF 111.68 CHF 142.51 63
PEG = 1.0 CHF 17.88 CHF 25.55 CHF 33.21 55
EPV CHF 72.49 CHF 84.75 CHF 95.47 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 75.69 CHF 120.78 CHF 171.28 66
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 75.69 CHF 109.88 CHF 148.29 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 116.97 CHF 155.96 CHF 194.95 63
P/S Multiple CHF 94.69 CHF 126.25 CHF 157.82 58
P/B Multiple CHF 61.95 CHF 82.60 CHF 103.25 55
EV/EBIT CHF 130.15 CHF 173.88 CHF 217.61 66
EV/EBITDA CHF 173.91 CHF 232.22 CHF 290.54 67
EV/Revenue CHF 92.59 CHF 132.72 CHF 172.85 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 9.18 CHF 12.30 CHF 18.36 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 141.19 CHF 196.20 CHF 270.67 77
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 104.92 CHF 153.38 CHF 205.09 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 42.57 CHF 50.53 CHF 188.77 61
ROIC Compounder CHF 74.64 CHF 89.91 CHF 105.17 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 87.04 CHF 124.35 CHF 161.65 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 167.60) versus Asset-Based (CHF 12.30). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 30.1
P/S ratio 1.08 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) CHF 7.03 price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.1
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 85.3%
Net margin 3.6% FY2025
Return on equity 32.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 17.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) CHF 23.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −11.5% 3y avg −14.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −15.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow CHF 1.6B FY2025
Net debt CHF 3.2B FY2025 · ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Kuehne + Nagel International AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through four segments: Sea Logistics, Air Logistics, Road Logistics, and Contract Logistics.

Full company description

Kuehne + Nagel International AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through four segments: Sea Logistics, Air Logistics, Road Logistics, and Contract Logistics. It offers full loads and less than container loads, reefer cold chain solutions for temperature-sensitive goods, order management, and VinLog, a wine, spirits, and drinks logistics solutions, as well as cargo insurance and customs brokerage; and air freight services, such as air charter services, time-critical logistics, sea-air logistics, airside logistics, customs clearance, and smart labels. The company also provides road logistics include full truck load, less than truck load, and groupage services; and fulfillment, warehouse, and distribution services, such as fulfilment operation, distribution and last mile delivery, in-plant, inventory and order management, packaging, returns management, waste management, custom, quality inspections, and value-added services. In addition, it offers customs clearances services comprising export and import customs clearance and transit services, one-stop digital customs solution, and customs and trade consultancy services, as well as inbound logistics for e-commerce and cross-border e-commerce. Further, the company operates various logistic projects, such as industrial, renewable, energy, marine logistics, one global system, engineering, and chartering, and offers CO2e emissions calculator for project logistics. Additionally, it offers sustainable logistics; and supply chain management services comprising 4PL integrated logistics and order management. The company serves aerospace, automotive, mobility, consumer, healthcare, high-tech and semiconductor, industrial, and perishables industries. The company was founded in 1890 and is based in Schindellegi, Switzerland. Kuehne + Nagel International AG operates as a subsidiary of Kuehne Holding AG.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kuehne & Nagel reported revenue of CHF 24.5B in FY2025 versus CHF 32.8B in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 882M in FY2025, compounding −18.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 24.5B
Latest YoY
−1.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.8% (3.0 + 2.8)
Revenue −7.1%/yr
FY21 CHF 32.8B
FY22 CHF 39.4B
FY23 CHF 23.8B
FY24 CHF 24.8B
FY25 CHF 24.5B
Net income −18.8%/yr
FY21 CHF 2.0B
FY22 CHF 2.6B
FY23 CHF 1.4B
FY24 CHF 1.2B
FY25 CHF 882M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.2 %

of which total revenue +4.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %

EBIT margin +3.0 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KNIN screens 43% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Kuehne & Nagel · Fair Value
CHF 147.92 −43%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kuehne & Nagel Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KNIN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 206 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth −12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 14.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 43
FUTURE0 · sector 8
PAST100 · sector 26
HEALTH80 · sector 94
DIVIDEND57 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $105.33 $103.34 −2%
FedEx Corporation FDX $330.88 $347.68 +5%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €56.14 €53.18 −5%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,358 kr 712.57 −48%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $256.48 $133.80 −48%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $150.39 $86.56 −42%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $190.97 $115.95 −39%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO $21.50 $28.62 +33%
Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 196,700 KRW 468,982 KRW +138%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kuehne & Nagel (KNIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 147.92 versus a price of CHF 211.30, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KNIN?
Our model-based fair value for Kuehne & Nagel is CHF 147.92 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 211.30.
What is the quality score of KNIN?
Kuehne & Nagel has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kuehne & Nagel (KNIN)?
Kuehne & Nagel reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 23.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KNIN?
The net profit margin of Kuehne & Nagel is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kuehne & Nagel pay a dividend?
Kuehne & Nagel currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.84% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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