DSV Panalpina A/S (DSV) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DK · Market cap 396B DKK (≈ $61.6B) · ISIN DK0060079531
What is DSV Panalpina A/S really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 85% above our fair value of kr 712.57.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −1.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 890.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 476.11 to kr 890.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 850.64 – kr 1,894 · fair‑value band kr 476.11 – kr 890.71 · the kr 1,322 price screens above the kr 712.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
DSV Panalpina A/S (DSV) currently trades at kr 1,322, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 712.57, implying the stock looks roughly 85.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 1,336 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 1,322 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 121.36, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, DSV Panalpina A/S generated revenue of 276B DKK at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 68.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at 109B DKK. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 476.11 (bear case) to kr 890.71 (bull case); at kr 1,322, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −46%, DSV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 19.41 per share, which is 2.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 1,336) versus Dividend Discount (kr 121.36). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
DSV A/S offers freight forwarding and logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and the Pacific. It operates through three segments: Air & Sea, Road, and Solutions.
Full company description
DSV A/S offers freight forwarding and logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and the Pacific. It operates through three segments: Air & Sea, Road, and Solutions. The company provides air freight, charter, and sea-air freight services, as well as unit load devices; sea freight services, including less-than-container load services, sea freight services, break bulk, sea containers, and DSV LCL sailing schedule services; and warehousing, e-commerce fulfilment, supply chain, contract logistics, and logistics solutions. It also offers road freight services, such as full load, part load, and groupage; conventional freight forwarding services and tailored project cargo solutions; and freight management, customs clearance, decarbonising logistics, order management, insurance, and e-commerce solutions. The company serves the automotive, technology, healthcare, energy, industrial, consumer, defense, aerospace, and chemical industries. The company was formerly known as DSV Panalpina A/S and changed its name to DSV A/S in September 2021. DSV A/S was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Hedehusene, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
DSV Panalpina A/S reported revenue of 245B DKK in FY2025 versus 182B DKK in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was 8.1B DKK in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.4 % · buybacks/dilution −2.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
DSV screens 85% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Invesco and DSV's have been highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day
- Bear of the Day: DSV (DSDVY)
- DSV AS (DSDVF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record EBIT and Strategic Progress Amid Challenges
- DSV, 1170 - INTERIM FINANCIAL REPORT H1 2026
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 206 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $105.33 | $103.34 | −2% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $330.88 | $347.68 | +5% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €56.14 | €53.18 | −5% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 219.90 | CHF 147.92 | −33% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $256.48 | $133.80 | −48% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $150.39 | $86.56 | −42% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $190.97 | $115.95 | −39% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO | $21.50 | $28.62 | +33% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 196,700 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +138% |
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