FedEx Corporation (FDX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $75.1B · ISIN US31428X1063
What is FedEx Corporation really worth?
FedEx Corporation
FDX · US
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $347.68.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +3.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($211.46 to $465.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $104.48 – $339.35 · fair‑value band $211.46 – $465.65 · the $324.31 price screens below the $347.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
FedEx Corporation (FDX) currently trades at $324.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $347.68, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $370.52 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the $324.31 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $88.86, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, FedEx Corporation generated revenue of $91.9B at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at $29.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $211.46 (bear case) to $465.65 (bull case); at $324.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 7%, FDX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 3 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.44 per share, which is 1.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($370.52) versus Asset-Based ($88.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments.
Full company description
FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. The company offers transportation services, including express, freight, less-than-truckload freight, and time-specific freight-shipping; and small-package ground delivery services. It also provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, free Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, expedited U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean freight-forwarding and cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage and clearance, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
FedEx Corporation reported revenue of $94.7B in FY2026 versus $93.5B in FY2022, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was $4.4B in FY2026, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +6.1 % · buybacks/dilution +1.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch FDX: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FedEx Corporation (FDX) is Growing Faster, but Could United Parcel (UPS) Have More Margin Upside?
- FedEx Just Spun Off Its Freight Division. Which Stock Should You Own?
- FedEx to invest $150M for air cargo terminal in Delhi
- The supply-chain savant: How FedEx CEO Raj Subramaniam leads through ‘reglobalization’
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 206 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $105.33 | $103.34 | −2% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €56.14 | €53.18 | −5% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,358 | kr 712.57 | −48% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 219.90 | CHF 147.92 | −33% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $256.48 | $133.80 | −48% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $150.39 | $86.56 | −42% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $190.97 | $115.95 | −39% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO | $21.50 | $28.62 | +33% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 196,700 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +138% |
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