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STOCK COMPARISON

CH Robinson Worldwide vs United Parcel Service: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how CH Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) and United Parcel Service (UPS) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the less overvalued of the two: CH Robinson Worldwide trades at $147 versus a fair value of $86.56 (-41%), while United Parcel Service trades at $104 versus $103 (-0%).
CH Robinson Worldwide
CHRW · USD · Industrials
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$147
Fair Value$86.56
Quality65/100
United Parcel Service
UPS · USD · Industrials
-0%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price$104
Fair Value$103
Quality62/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

CH Robinson WorldwideUnited Parcel Service
Valuation
38.9×P/E (TTM)19.0×
1.40×P/S (TTM)1.13×
12.31×P/B6.14×
26.7×EV/EBITDA9.9×
2.68×PEG1.85×
−41.0%Fair value upside−0.2%
1.7%Dividend yield6.3%
$2.50Dividend per share$6.56
Profitability
5%Operating margin6%
1.17×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.83×
35%Return on equity33%
10%Return on assets7%
Growth
-1%Revenue growth (YoY)-2%
-13.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.9%
0.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)1.0%
+4.6%Value creation/yr+12.1%
Balance & size
12.6×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.8×
0.59×Debt / equity1.45×
$23BMarket cap$100B
weakGrowth qualityweak

United Parcel Service leads: 4 to 11 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

CH Robinson Worldwideof which business quality 64 · market factors 42 United Parcel Serviceof which business quality 59 · market factors 57
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
69
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
40
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
59
45
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
55
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
82
95
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
51
64
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
31
50
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
50
63
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
86
89

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyCH Robinson WorldwidePrice $147United Parcel ServicePrice $104
DCF Models-29%below the price$104-1%close to the price$103
Earnings-Based-71%below the price$42.39-33%below the price$69.77
Dividend Discount-70%below the price$43.46n/a
Multiples-40%below the price$87.91+36%above the price$141
Asset-Based-93%below the price$10.49-86%below the price$14.56
Growth DCF-26%below the price$108-13%close to the price$89.84
Economic Profit-64%below the price$52.22-25%below the price$77.20
Growth Earnings-38%below the price$91.32+23%above the price$127
Minimum-93%below the price$10.49-86%below the price$14.56
Maximum-26%below the price$108+36%above the price$141
Median-52%below the price$70.06-13%close to the price$89.84
Geometric mean-62%below the price$55.61-28%below the price$74.68

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

CH Robinson Worldwide: 26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

United Parcel Service: 11 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

CH Robinson Worldwide
Bear $63.50Fair Value $86.56Bull $111
$147 = current price (white tick)
United Parcel Service
Bear $57.36Fair Value $103Bull $165
$104 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

CH Robinson Worldwide · Industrials

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-41% · below median

United Parcel Service · Industrials

Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-0% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the less overvalued of the two: CH Robinson Worldwide trades at $147 versus a fair value of $86.56 (-41%), while United Parcel Service trades at $104 versus $103 (-0%).

CH Robinson Worldwide has the higher quality score (65/100).

See the full analysis →
CH Robinson Worldwide · United Parcel Service

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.