Coca Cola HBC AG (CCH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 18.1B GBX · ISIN CH0198251305
What is Coca Cola HBC AG really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of £44.75.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from £46.93 to £44.75 (−4.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −9.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (£27.26 to £66.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £12.71 – £51.70 · fair‑value band £27.26 – £66.51 · the £45.34 price screens above the £44.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Coca Cola HBC AG (CCH) currently trades at £45.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £44.75, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of £46.17 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the £45.34 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £7.08, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Coca Cola HBC AG generated revenue of £11.6B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.0%. Net debt stands at £1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £27.26 (bear case) to £66.51 (bull case); at £45.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −1%, CCH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.8159 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£46.17) versus Asset-Based (£7.08). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Coca-Cola HBC AG engages in the production, sale, and distribution of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under franchise in Switzerland, West Coast of Ireland, Central and Eastern Europe, Nigeria, and internationally.
Full company description
Coca-Cola HBC AG engages in the production, sale, and distribution of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under franchise in Switzerland, West Coast of Ireland, Central and Eastern Europe, Nigeria, and internationally. It offers sparkling soft drinks, adult sparkling, hydration drinks, juices, ready-to-drink tea and coffee, sports and energy drinks, plant-based drinks, hard seltzers, premium spirit, dairy, and snacks; and distributes third-party products. The company markets and sells its products under several brands, including Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Adez, Averna, Amita, Aquarius, Aperol, Avra, Deep RiverRock, Fruice, Kinley, Schweppes, and various other brands. It serves various consumer channels, such as supermarkets, convenience stores, vending machines, hotels, cafés, and restaurants, as well as e-commerce channels. Coca-Cola HBC AG was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Steinhausen, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Coca Cola HBC AG reported revenue of €11.4B in FY2025 versus €7.2B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was €923M in FY2025, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $89.06 | $36.57 | −59% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.72 | $106.91 | −23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $46.70 | $35.82 | −23% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$42.54 | HK$30.90 | −27% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €70.86 | −23% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $32.18 | $30.99 | −4% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $112.58 | $108.50 | −4% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹431.00 | ₹187.49 | −56% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥123.07 | ¥107.57 | −13% |
| MIXUE Group 2097 | HK$232.60 | HK$307.46 | +32% |
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