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Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $11.5B

BF Brown-Forman Corporation logo Brown-Forman Corporation BF-B · US
Price$28.03
Fair Value$27.69
Upside-1.2%
Quality72/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.49% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range $17.62 – $37.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $28.15 to $27.69 (−1.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +11.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($17.62 to $37.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$73.14 $22.80 Fair Value $27.69 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.80 – $73.14 · fair‑value band $17.62 – $37.87 · the $28.03 price screens above the $27.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) currently trades at $28.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.69, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Brown-Forman Corporation generated revenue of $3.9B at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.4%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.62 (bear case) to $37.87 (bull case); at $28.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -1%, BF-B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $16.85 $24.60 $35.03 80
Residual Income $10.03 $13.19 $43.98 76
Rev-Margin DCF $8.76 $13.58 $18.73 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $16.19 $24.39 $35.83 38
Owner Earnings $11.87 $18.29 $27.26 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.76 $13.23 $18.52 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.36 $28.28 $40.28 41
5Y P/E Exit $16.83 $27.36 $37.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit $11.14 $15.59 $20.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.74 $25.68 $36.33 37
10Y P/E Exit $16.41 $25.06 $34.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.42 $21.93 $27.77 54
PEG = 1.0 $3.29 $4.70 $6.11 46
EPV $15.36 $18.55 $21.35 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $24.13 $32.17 $40.21 63
P/S Multiple $10.10 $13.47 $16.83 58
P/B Multiple $19.53 $26.04 $32.55 55
EV/EBIT $26.49 $36.59 $46.69 53
EV/EBITDA $21.29 $29.65 $38.01 54
EV/Revenue $5.03 $8.82 $12.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.31 $5.77 $8.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.85 $24.60 $35.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.76 $13.58 $18.73 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.03 $13.19 $43.98 76
ROIC Compounder $15.94 $20.25 $24.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $17.72 $25.31 $32.91 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($26.04) versus Asset-Based ($5.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.0%
Net margin 18.2%
Return on equity 17.9%
Free cash flow $893M FY2026
P/E ratio 14.5 as of Jun 3, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 23.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.53
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -62.7%
Net debt $1.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Brown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells a variety of alcohol beverages. The company provides spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink cocktails, ready-to-pour products, vodkas, tequilas, gin, brandy, rum, bourbons, and liqueurs.

Full company description

Brown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells a variety of alcohol beverages. The company provides spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink cocktails, ready-to-pour products, vodkas, tequilas, gin, brandy, rum, bourbons, and liqueurs. The company offers its products primarily under the Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester, Gentleman Jack, Herradura, el Jimador, Fords Gin, The Glendronach, Chambord, Coopers' Craft, Diplomático, Benriach, Glenglassaugh, and Slane brands. It is also involved in the sale of used barrels, and bulk whiskey and wine; and provision of contract bottling services. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors and state governments; and retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments directly. It operates in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, Spain, France, Mexico, Poland, Brazil, Türkiye, and internationally. Brown-Forman Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Brown-Forman Corporation reported revenue of $3.9B in FY2026 versus $3.9B in FY2022, a compound −0.0%/yr. Reported net income was $715M in FY2026, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$3.9B
Latest YoY
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Revenue −0.0%/yr
FY22 $3.9B
FY23 $4.2B
FY24 $4.2B
FY25 $4.0B
FY26 $3.9B
Net income −3.9%/yr
FY22 $838M
FY23 $783M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $869M
FY26 $715M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +1.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.9 pp

of which total revenue +3.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp

EBIT margin −3.4 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brown-Forman Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BF-B

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 4.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 32 · sector 14
FUTURE 10 · sector 0
PAST 71 · sector 17
HEALTH 74 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 70 · sector 61

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,343 ¥1,238 -8%
Diageo plc DEO $93.96 $73.29 -22%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥75.28 ¥48.44 -36%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥122.32 ¥185.80 +52%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €67.96 €76.13 +12%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥91.09 ¥149.17 +64%
United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR ₹1,515 ₹381.12 -75%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4700 SGD 0.7000 SGD +49%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥41.62 ¥27.82 -33%
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co 000596 ¥99.18 ¥182.41 +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.69 versus a price of $28.03, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BF-B?
Our model-based fair value for Brown-Forman Corporation is $27.69 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.03.
What is the quality score of BF-B?
Brown-Forman Corporation has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B)?
Brown-Forman Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BF-B?
The net profit margin of Brown-Forman Corporation is about 20.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Brown-Forman Corporation pay a dividend?
Brown-Forman Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.62% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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