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United Spirits Limited (UNITDSPR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹977B (≈ $10.4B) · ISIN INE854D01024

What is United Spirits Limited really worth?

US United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR · NSE
Price₹1,472
Fair Value₹381.12
Upside−74.1%
Quality63/100

A solid business, but trading 286% above our fair value of ₹381.12.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 14.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Weak on future: 4 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100

For context

·1.22% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ₹252.89 – ₹545.19

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹440.56 to ₹381.12 (−13.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −3.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹545.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹252.89 to ₹545.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,653 ₹555.91 Fair Value ₹381.12 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹555.91 – ₹1,653 · fair‑value band ₹252.89 – ₹545.19 · the ₹1,472 price screens above the ₹381.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

United Spirits Limited (UNITDSPR) currently trades at ₹1,472, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹381.12, implying the stock looks roughly 286.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹479.53 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹1,472 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹84.48, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, United Spirits Limited generated revenue of ₹125B at a net margin of 14.7%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹15.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹252.89 (bear case) to ₹545.19 (bull case); at ₹1,472, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −74%, UNITDSPR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹2.61 per share, which is 0.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹253.97 ₹387.19 ₹599.95 79
Growth DCF ₹258.88 ₹378.02 ₹557.14 78
Owner Earnings ₹355.01 ₹547.76 ₹855.59 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹253.97 ₹387.19 ₹599.95 79
Owner Earnings ₹355.01 ₹547.76 ₹855.59 75
5Y Revenue Exit ₹220.61 ₹330.95 ₹470.68 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹289.52 ₹459.60 ₹657.49 75
5Y P/E Exit ₹345.06 ₹563.28 ₹792.30 70
10Y Revenue Exit ₹224.40 ₹329.39 ₹468.49 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹275.15 ₹420.67 ₹614.11 68
10Y P/E Exit ₹311.34 ₹494.24 ₹719.19 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹176.02 ₹541.13 ₹718.79 65
Lynch FV ₹116.69 ₹166.70 ₹216.71 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹116.69 ₹166.70 ₹216.71 57
EPV ₹237.26 ₹274.22 ₹307.07 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹171.10 ₹373.53 ₹628.49 65
DDM Multi-Stage ₹171.10 ₹286.89 ₹389.28 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹407.69 ₹543.59 ₹679.49 63
P/S Multiple ₹210.69 ₹280.92 ₹351.16 58
P/B Multiple ₹330.04 ₹440.05 ₹550.06 55
EV/EBIT ₹386.43 ₹505.96 ₹625.49 66
EV/EBITDA ₹341.74 ₹446.37 ₹551.01 67
EV/Revenue ₹212.20 ₹291.21 ₹370.22 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹63.04 ₹84.48 ₹126.09 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹258.88 ₹378.02 ₹557.14 78
Rev-Margin DCF ₹220.61 ₹331.75 ₹459.32 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹167.19 ₹204.72 ₹566.78 67
ROIC Compounder ₹252.94 ₹315.43 ₹389.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹335.67 ₹479.53 ₹623.39 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹479.53) versus Asset-Based (₹84.48). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 61.0
P/S ratio 8.99 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹24.12 price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.0
Dividend yield 1.2% payout 74.6%
Net margin 14.7% FY2026
Return on equity 20.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 14.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 16.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹125B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8% 3y avg +5.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹13.5B FY2026
Net cash ₹15.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

United Spirits Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, sells, and distributes alcoholic beverages and other allied spirits in India and internationally. It operates through Beverage Alcohol and Sports segments.

Full company description

United Spirits Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, sells, and distributes alcoholic beverages and other allied spirits in India and internationally. It operates through Beverage Alcohol and Sports segments. The company offers alcoholic beverages, such as Scotch whisky, Indian made foreign liquor whisky, malts, tequila, brandy, rum, vodka, and gin under the Godawan, McDowell's No.1, Royal Challenge, Royal Challenge American Pride, Signature, Antiquity, Black Dog, Director's Special Black, McDowell's Rum, McDowell's Brandy, and McDowell's X-series brands. It also imports, manufactures, distributes, and sells alcoholic beverages under Diageo's iconic brands, which include Don Julio, Singleton, Tanquery, Captain Morgan, Johnnie Walker, J&B, Baileys, Lagavulin, Talisker, VAT 69, Black & White, Smirnoff, and Ciroc. In addition, the company holds the perpetual right to the Royal Challengers Bengaluru cricket franchise of Indian Premier League and Women's Premier League. It also exports its products to approximately 24 countries. The company was formerly known as McDowell & Company Limited and changed its name to United Spirits Limited in October 2006. The company was founded in 1826 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India. United Spirits Limited is a subsidiary of Relay B.V.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

United Spirits Limited reported revenue of ₹125B in FY2026 versus ₹96.5B in FY2022, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹18.4B in FY2026, compounding +22.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹125B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+24.0% (22.8 + 1.2)
Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY22 ₹96.5B
FY23 ₹106B
FY24 ₹113B
FY25 ₹120B
FY26 ₹125B
Net income +22.0%/yr
FY22 ₹8.3B
FY23 ₹11.4B
FY24 ₹14.1B
FY25 ₹15.8B
FY26 ₹18.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) +35.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.0 %

of which total revenue +4.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +2.6 %
Tax rate +6.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +19.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

UNITDSPR screens 286% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Spirits Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNITDSPR

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 10.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 44.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE4 · sector 0
PAST80 · sector 19
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND24 · sector 60

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,303 ¥1,238 −5%
Diageo plc DEO $92.99 $73.29 −21%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥71.89 ¥48.44 −33%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥116.39 ¥185.80 +60%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €63.20 €76.13 +20%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥84.50 ¥149.17 +77%
Brown-Forman Corporation BFA $28.72 $27.69 −4%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4650 SGD 0.7000 SGD +51%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥39.59 ¥27.82 −30%
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co 000596 ¥93.90 ¥141.00 +50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is United Spirits Limited (UNITDSPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹381.12 versus a price of ₹1,472, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UNITDSPR?
Our model-based fair value for United Spirits Limited is ₹381.12 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,472.
What is the quality score of UNITDSPR?
United Spirits Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of United Spirits Limited (UNITDSPR)?
United Spirits Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹125B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UNITDSPR?
The net profit margin of United Spirits Limited is about 14.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does United Spirits Limited pay a dividend?
United Spirits Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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