AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $271B
AstraZeneca PLC
AZN · US
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $129.54 to $127.32 (−1.7%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($72.51 to $172.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $97.38 – $208.45 · fair‑value band $72.51 – $172.84 · the $157.24 price screens above the $127.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) currently trades at $157.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $127.32, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AstraZeneca PLC generated revenue of $60.4B at a net margin of 17.2%. Revenue grew 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.5%. Net debt stands at $24.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $72.51 (bear case) to $172.84 (bull case); at $157.24, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -19%, AZN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($129.13) versus Asset-Based ($21.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when AZN reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines.
Full company description
AstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines. The company offers Imjudo, Datroway, Iressa, Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Lynparza, Calquence, Enhertu, Orpathys, Truqap, Zoladex, Faslodex, Crestor, Andexxa, Onglyza, Symlin, XIGDUO XR, Atacand, Atacand HCT, Atacand Plus, Farxiga/Forxiga, Plendil, Modip, Splendil, Munobal, Flodil, Tenormin, Tenormine, Prenormine, Atenol, Zestril, Brilinta/Brilique, Komboglyze, Qtern, Wainua, Byetta, Lokelma, Seloken ZOK, Toprol-XL, Betaloc ZOK, XIGDUO, Accolate, Accoleit, Vanticon, Bricanyl Respules, Eklira Genuair/Tudorza/Bretaris, Pulmicort Turbuhaler, Symbicort Turbuhaler, Airsupra, Bricanyl Turbuhaler, Fasenra, Rhinocort, Tezspire, Bevespi Aerosphere, Daliresp/Daxas, Oxis Turbuhaler, Saphnelo, Breztri Aerosphere, Duaklir Genuair, Pulmicort Respules, and Symbicort pMDI. It also provides Beyfortus, Kavigale, Evusheld, Fluenz/FluMist, Synagis, Kanuma, Ultomiris, Koselugo, Voydeya, Soliris, Strensiq, Nexium, and other medicines. The company offers its products for ocology, cardiovascular, renal and metabolism, respiratory & immunology, vaccines and immune, and therapies rare diseases. It serves primary and specialty care physicians through distributors and local representative offices in the United Kingdom, the Americas, rest of Europe, Asia, Africa, and Australasia. It has a strategic agreement with Tempus and Pathos to develop the largest multimodal foundation model in oncology; CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited to advance the discovery and development of novel oral candidates, with the potential to treat diseases across multiple indications; and Nucs AI Inc. to develop AI-driven Response Prediction for Therapeutic Radioconjugates. The company was formerly known as Zeneca Group PLC and changed its name to AstraZeneca PLC in April 1999. AstraZeneca PLC was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AstraZeneca PLC reported revenue of $58.7B in FY2025 versus $37.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was $10.3B in FY2025, compounding +209.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
AZN screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- How AstraZeneca’s $400bn deal unravelled
- AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) vs. Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY): Wall Street Doesn’t Buy This Merger Talk
- Do Options Traders Know Something About AstraZeneca Stock We Don't?
- Hedge Funds are Bullish on AstraZeneca PLC (AZN)
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - General · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,220 | $389.47 | -68% |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | $260.86 | $169.04 | -35% |
| AbbVie Inc ABBV | $248.76 | $67.72 | -73% |
| Roche Holding 1RO | €392.80 | €240.14 | -39% |
| Merck & Co MRK | €115.42 | €118.21 | +2% |
| Novartis AG NVSN | 2,742 MXN | 1,964 MXN | -28% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB | kr 299.50 | kr 409.46 | +37% |
| Sanofi SNYN | 770.00 MXN | 1,041 MXN | +35% |
| GSK plc GSKN | 917.00 MXN | 879.08 MXN | -4% |
| Bayer Aktiengesellschaft BAYER | 17,685 HUF | 14,810 HUF | -16% |
Compare AstraZeneca PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Healthcare stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of AZN?
What is the quality score of AZN?
What is the revenue of AstraZeneca PLC (AZN)?
What is the net profit margin of AZN?
Does AstraZeneca PLC pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track AstraZeneca PLC and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.