AstraZeneca vs Eli Lilly and: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how AstraZeneca (AZN) and Eli Lilly and (LLY) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees AstraZeneca as the less overvalued of the two: AstraZeneca trades at $157 versus a fair value of $127 (-19%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
AstraZeneca
AZN · USD · Health Care
-19%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$157
Fair Value$127
Quality69/100
Eli Lilly and
LLY · USD · Health Care
-68%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$1,209
Fair Value$389
Quality69/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
AstraZenecaEli Lilly and
Valuation
23.6×P/E (TTM)42.2×
4.49×P/S (TTM)14.67×
5.58×P/B39.94×
14.5×EV/EBITDA30.2×
1.36×PEG1.54×
1.8%Dividend yield0.5%
$3.20Dividend per share$6.23
Profitability
17%Net margin35%
28%Operating margin49%
23%Return on equity107%
8%Return on assets21%
Growth
13%Revenue growth (YoY)56%
9.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)31.7%
17.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)21.6%
Balance & size
0.51×Debt / equity1.54×
$271BMarket cap$1.1T
healthyGrowth qualitymixed
Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
AstraZenecaof which business quality 65 · market factors 49Eli Lilly andof which business quality 65 · market factors 83
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
63
85
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
65
86
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
60
15
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
85
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
32
79
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
36
97
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
93
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
AstraZeneca
DCF Models$116
Earnings-Based$60.23
Multiples$125
Asset-Based$21.03
Growth DCF$100
Economic Profit$75.73
Growth Earnings$129
22 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.
Eli Lilly and
DCF Models$334
Earnings-Based$239
Dividend Discount$115
Multiples$358
Asset-Based$19.94
Growth DCF$187
Economic Profit$347
Growth Earnings$375
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
AstraZeneca
Bear $72.51Fair Value $127Bull $173
$157 = current price (white tick)
Eli Lilly and
Bear $216Fair Value $389Bull $582
$1,209 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
AstraZeneca · Health Care
Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-19% · above median
Eli Lilly and · Health Care
Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-68% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees AstraZeneca as the less overvalued of the two: AstraZeneca trades at $157 versus a fair value of $127 (-19%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
AstraZeneca has the higher quality score (69/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
