Avery Dennison Corp (AVY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $12.0B · ISIN US0536111091
What is Avery Dennison Corp really worth?
Avery Dennison Corp
AVY · US
A solid business, but trading 53% above our fair value of $113.05.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −0.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($61.93 to $171.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $142.37 – $220.35 · fair‑value band $61.93 – $171.07 · the $173.03 price screens above the $113.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Avery Dennison Corp (AVY) currently trades at $173.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $113.05, implying the stock looks roughly 53.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $134.34 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $173.03 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $19.64, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Avery Dennison Corp generated revenue of $9.0B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.9%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $61.93 (bear case) to $171.07 (bull case); at $173.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −35%, AVY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.39 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($134.34) versus Asset-Based ($19.64). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Avery Dennison Corporation operates as a materials science and digital identification solutions company in the North America, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
Full company description
Avery Dennison Corporation operates as a materials science and digital identification solutions company in the North America, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, Asia, and Latin America. It offers pressure-sensitive label materials, which consist of papers, plastic films, and metal foils; performance tapes products, including mechanical fasteners, which are precision-extruded and injection-molded plastic devices; and other pressure-sensitive adhesive-based materials and converted products under the Fasson, JAC, and Avery Dennison brands. The company provides graphics and reflective products that include films and other products for the architectural, commercial sign, digital printing, and other related market segments; durable cast and reflective films to the construction, automotive, and fleet transportation markets; sign shops, commercial printers, and designers for pressure-sensitive materials; reflective films for traffic and safety applications; and pressure-sensitive vinyl and specialty materials for digital imaging, screen printing, and sign cutting applications under the Avery Dennison and Mactac brand names. In addition, it offers branding solutions, which include brand embellishments, graphic tickets, tags, labels, and sustainable packaging; information solutions, such as item-level RFID, visibility and loss prevention, price ticketing and marking, productivity and media, and brand protection and security solutions; and shelf-edge productivity and media solutions under the Vestcom brand names, as well as care, content, and country of origin compliance solutions. It serves home and personal care, apparel, general retail, e-commerce, logistics, food and grocery, pharmaceuticals, and automotive industries. The company was formerly known as Avery International Corporation and changed its name to Avery Dennison Corporation in 1990. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Mentor, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Avery Dennison Corp reported revenue of $8.9B in FY2025 versus $8.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $688M in FY2025, compounding −1.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.9 % · buybacks/dilution +1.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
AVY screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- 3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldn't Overlook Avery Dennison (AVY)
- Avery Dennison Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
- 3 Reasons AVY is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
- Why Avery Dennison (AVY) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 270 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $49.25 | $22.66 | −54% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $233.94 | $122.63 | −48% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.46 | $21.44 | −41% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $46.52 | $18.79 | −60% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $61.67 | $36.57 | −41% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $119.08 | $118.59 | +0% |
| CCL Industries Inc CCLA | C$93.99 | C$77.64 | −17% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €9.74 | €11.42 | +17% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 13.66 | CHF 8.32 | −39% |
| Sonoco Products Company SON | $56.47 | $54.67 | −3% |
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