SIG Combibloc Group AG (SIGN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CH · Market cap CHF 5.3B · ISIN CH0435377954
What is SIG Combibloc Group AG really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 64% above our fair value of CHF 8.32.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price −12.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 12.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (CHF 4.66 to CHF 12.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 7.83 – CHF 25.69 · fair‑value band CHF 4.66 – CHF 12.52 · the CHF 13.62 price screens above the CHF 8.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
SIG Combibloc Group AG (SIGN) currently trades at CHF 13.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 8.32, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 10.98 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the CHF 13.62 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 4.66, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, SIG Combibloc Group AG generated revenue of CHF 3.2B at a net margin of −2.7%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.0%. Net debt stands at CHF 2.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 4.66 (bear case) to CHF 12.52 (bull case); at CHF 13.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −39%, SIGN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 10.98) versus Asset-Based (CHF 4.66). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
SIG Group AG provides aseptic carton packaging systems and solutions for beverage and food products primarily in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas.
Full company description
SIG Group AG provides aseptic carton packaging systems and solutions for beverage and food products primarily in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company provides carton, bag-in-box, and spouted pouch packaging solutions; filling lines and other related equipment, packaging material, and after-sales services; carton sleeves, closures, and barrier film and fitments; and commodity hedging products. It operates in China, the United States, Germany, India, Brazil, the Netherlands, Australia, Austria, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Spain, and the United Arab Emirates. The company was formerly known as SIG Combibloc Group AG and changed its name to SIG Group AG in April 2022. SIG Group AG was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Neuhausen am Rheinfall, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SIG Combibloc Group AG reported revenue of €3.3B in FY2025 versus €2.1B in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€87.6M in FY2025.
SIGN screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 270 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $49.25 | $22.66 | −54% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $233.94 | $122.63 | −48% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.46 | $21.44 | −41% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $46.52 | $18.79 | −60% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $61.67 | $36.57 | −41% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $119.08 | $118.59 | +0% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $173.07 | $113.05 | −35% |
| CCL Industries Inc CCLA | C$93.99 | C$77.64 | −17% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €9.74 | €11.42 | +17% |
| Sonoco Products Company SON | $56.47 | $54.67 | −3% |
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