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Crown Holdings Inc (CCK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $12.8B · ISIN US2283681060

What is Crown Holdings Inc really worth?

CH Crown Holdings Inc logo Crown Holdings Inc CCK · US
Price$117.00
Fair Value$118.59
Upside+1.4%
Quality60/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $118.59.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr)

Risks

!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Weak on balance sheet: 10 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100

For context

·0.97% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $68.45 – $168.39

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −2.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($68.45 to $168.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$123.57 $63.91 Fair Value $118.59 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $63.91 – $123.57 · fair‑value band $68.45 – $168.39 · the $117.00 price screens below the $118.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Crown Holdings Inc (CCK) currently trades at $117.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $118.59, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $111.66 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the $117.00 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $13.96, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Crown Holdings Inc generated revenue of $12.7B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.2%. Net debt stands at $5.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $68.45 (bear case) to $168.39 (bull case); at $117.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 1%, CCK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.51 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $61.63 $102.58 $161.94 79
Growth DCF $65.11 $104.03 $158.10 77
Owner Earnings $31.78 $60.76 $102.77 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $61.63 $102.58 $161.94 79
Owner Earnings $31.78 $60.76 $102.77 74
5Y Revenue Exit $65.52 $118.99 $185.58 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $74.26 $134.21 $201.65 74
5Y P/E Exit $43.16 $80.04 $116.78 70
10Y Revenue Exit $59.87 $106.92 $163.24 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $68.55 $117.10 $174.64 67
10Y P/E Exit $49.27 $80.87 $114.41 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $44.67 $91.07 $114.77 66
EPV $75.02 $94.26 $111.10 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.86 $14.42 $19.17 69
DDM Multi-Stage $9.86 $13.96 $18.68 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $83.75 $111.66 $139.58 63
P/S Multiple $83.75 $111.66 $139.58 58
P/B Multiple $60.38 $80.51 $100.64 55
EV/EBIT $113.26 $164.50 $215.74 65
EV/EBITDA $99.94 $146.74 $193.55 66
EV/Revenue $75.72 $125.51 $175.31 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.42 $17.98 $26.84 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $65.11 $104.03 $158.10 77
Rev-Margin DCF $65.52 $120.31 $178.69 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $44.66 $62.82 $396.47 64
ROIC Compounder $78.50 $103.83 $130.43 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $61.74 $88.20 $114.66 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($111.66) versus Dividend Discount ($13.96). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 18.6
P/S ratio 1.10 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.29 price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.6
Dividend yield 1.0% payout 18.0%
Net margin 5.9% FY2025
Return on equity 26.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $12.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.9% 3y avg −1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −5.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
Net debt $5.3B FY2025 · ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Crown Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the packaging business in the United States and internationally. It operates through Americas Beverage, European Beverage, Asia Pacific, and Transit Packaging segments.

Full company description

Crown Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the packaging business in the United States and internationally. It operates through Americas Beverage, European Beverage, Asia Pacific, and Transit Packaging segments. The company manufactures and sells recyclable aluminum beverage cans and ends, glass bottles, steel crowns, aluminum caps, non-beverage cans, food and aerosol cans, and ends and closures. It provides manual, semi-automatic, and automatic equipment and tools to apply and remove consumables, such as straps and films; protective solutions, including airbags, edge protectors, and honeycomb products; and steel and plastic consumables include steel strap, plastic strap, industrial film, and other related products. It serves food industries, including pet food, personal care, household, and industrial products. Crown Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Crown Holdings Inc reported revenue of $12.4B in FY2025 versus $11.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $734M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.4B
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+10.4% (9.4 + 1.0)
Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 $11.4B
FY22 $12.9B
FY23 $12.0B
FY24 $11.8B
FY25 $12.4B
Net income
FY21 −$560M
FY22 $727M
FY23 $450M
FY24 $424M
FY25 $734M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.6 %

of which total revenue +3.7 % · buybacks/dilution +1.8 %

EBIT margin +1.5 %
Tax rate −0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Crown Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCK

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 270 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.80× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.01× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.66× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE35 · sector 13
FUTURE65 · sector 2
PAST100 · sector 21
HEALTH10 · sector 93
DIVIDEND19 · sector 44

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $49.25 $22.66 −54%
Packaging Corporation PKG $233.94 $122.63 −48%
International Paper Company IP $36.46 $21.44 −41%
Amcor plc AMCR $46.52 $18.79 −60%
Ball Corporation BALL $61.67 $36.57 −41%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $173.07 $113.05 −35%
CCL Industries Inc CCLA C$93.99 C$77.64 −17%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.74 €11.42 +17%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.66 CHF 8.32 −39%
Sonoco Products Company SON $56.47 $54.67 −3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Crown Holdings Inc (CCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $118.59 versus a price of $117.00, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CCK?
Our model-based fair value for Crown Holdings Inc is $118.59 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $117.00.
What is the quality score of CCK?
Crown Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Crown Holdings Inc (CCK)?
Crown Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CCK?
The net profit margin of Crown Holdings Inc is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Crown Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Crown Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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