Wal-Mart de México, S.A. (WALMEX) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 856B MXN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (37.40 MXN to 75.74 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 49.06 MXN – 75.36 MXN · fair‑value band 37.40 MXN – 75.74 MXN · the 49.49 MXN price screens below the 60.59 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wal-Mart de México, S.A. (WALMEX) currently trades at 49.49 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 60.59 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 22.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Wal-Mart de México, S.A. generated revenue of 1.0T MXN at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 37.40 MXN (bear case) to 75.74 MXN (bull case); at 49.49 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 22%, WALMEX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (61.56 MXN) versus Asset-Based (9.13 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount stores under the Bodega Aurrerá, Despensa Familiar, and Palí names; hypermarkets under the Walmart name; supermarkets under the Walmart Express, Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos names; and membership …
Full company description
Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount stores under the Bodega Aurrerá, Despensa Familiar, and Palí names; hypermarkets under the Walmart name; supermarkets under the Walmart Express, Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos names; and membership self-service wholesale stores under the Sam's Club name. It also offers mobile internet connectivity services, advertising services, and financial services through digital wallet, as well as sells airtime recharges and imports goods for resale. In addition, the company develops and manages real estate properties. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a subsidiary of Intersalt, S. de R.L. de C.V.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wal-Mart de México, S.A. reported revenue of 1.0T MXN in FY2025 versus 736B MXN in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 49.9B MXN in FY2025, compounding +3.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Walmex (BMV:WALMEX *) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Cut On Softer Mexico Consumer Trends
- Wal Mex (BMV:WALMEX *) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Cut As Analysts Turn Cautious
- How The Wal-Mart De México (BMV:WALMEX *) Story Is Shifting With A Cautious Analyst Stance
Peer Group
Discount Stores · 26 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart Inc WMT | $116.01 | $47.80 | -59% |
| Costco Wholesale Corporation COST | $949.58 | $383.51 | -60% |
| Target Corporation TGT | $154.00 | $116.90 | -24% |
| Dollarama Inc DOL | C$192.85 | C$92.38 | -52% |
| Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART | ₹4,040 | ₹921.40 | -77% |
| Dollar General Corporation DG | $120.07 | $116.55 | -3% |
| Dollar Tree, Inc DLTR | $128.61 | $125.92 | -2% |
| BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ | $92.71 | $80.26 | -13% |
| Pepco Group PCO | 46.22 PLN | 54.38 PLN | +18% |
| PriceSmart, Inc PSMT | $177.93 | $98.60 | -45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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