Pepco Group B.V. (PCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 22.4B PLN (≈ $6.0B) · ISIN NL0015000AU7
What is Pepco Group B.V. really worth?
A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of 54.81 PLN.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from 54.38 PLN to 54.81 PLN (+0.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −10.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.82 PLN – 54.55 PLN · fair‑value band 41.03 PLN – 68.59 PLN · the 41.83 PLN price screens below the 54.81 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Pepco Group B.V. (PCO) currently trades at 41.83 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 54.81 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 17.26 PLN per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the 41.83 PLN price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 6.70 PLN, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Pepco Group B.V. generated revenue of 4.6B PLN at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 85.1%. Net debt stands at 162M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 41.03 PLN (bear case) to 68.59 PLN (bull case); at 41.83 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades near its 52-week high and 141% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 31%, PCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1.45 PLN per share, which is 2.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (17.26 PLN) versus Asset-Based (0.2000 PLN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Pepco Group N.V. operates as a variety discount retailer in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, Poland, and the rest of Europe. The company offers general merchandise; apparel for the whole family, including children's wear; household goods and toys; homeware; home décor; and seasonal products.
Full company description
Pepco Group N.V. operates as a variety discount retailer in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, Poland, and the rest of Europe. The company offers general merchandise; apparel for the whole family, including children's wear; household goods and toys; homeware; home décor; and seasonal products. In addition, the company provides direct product sourcing, product development, and technical services. Pepco Group N.V. operates stores under the Pepco, Poundland, and Dealz brands. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Pepco Group N.V. is a subsidiary of Pepco Holdco Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pepco Group B.V. reported revenue of €4.5B in FY2025 versus €4.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€176M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Discount Stores · 24 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart Inc WMT | $103.09 | $47.80 | −54% |
| Costco Wholesale Corporation COST | $934.66 | $383.51 | −59% |
| Target Corporation TGT | $163.18 | $116.90 | −28% |
| Dollarama Inc DOL | C$192.85 | C$92.38 | −52% |
| Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART | ₹3,827 | ₹921.40 | −76% |
| Dollar General Corporation DG | $120.08 | $116.55 | −3% |
| Dollar Tree, Inc DLTR | $128.26 | $125.92 | −2% |
| 540376 540376 | ₹4,054 | ₹1,542 | −62% |
| BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ | $93.19 | $80.26 | −14% |
| PriceSmart, Inc PSMT | $173.72 | $98.60 | −43% |
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