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Spire Inc (SR) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $4.8B · ISIN US84857L1017

What is Spire Inc really worth?

SI Spire Inc logo Spire Inc SR · US
Price$83.33
Fair Value$51.12
Upside−38.7%
Quality37/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 63% above our fair value of $51.12.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.9 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Weak on future: 23 out of 100

For context

·3.86% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $38.34 – $85.30

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price +4.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($38.34 to $85.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$94.21 $48.54 Fair Value $51.12 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $48.54 – $94.21 · fair‑value band $38.34 – $85.30 · the $83.33 price screens above the $51.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Spire Inc (SR) currently trades at $83.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $51.12, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $78.13 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $83.33 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $25.76, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Spire Inc generated revenue of $2.6B at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $5.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $38.34 (bear case) to $85.30 (bull case); at $83.33, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −39%, SR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.60 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $47.49 $50.82 $55.85 76
EPV $14.48 $25.76 $35.48 71
ROIC Compounder $14.48 $25.76 $35.48 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.25 $68.49 $87.27 66
PEG = 1.0 $10.84 $15.49 $20.14 57
EPV $14.48 $25.76 $35.48 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $29.27 $45.15 $61.90 68
DDM Multi-Stage $29.27 $41.67 $55.10 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $62.05 $82.73 $103.41 63
P/S Multiple $58.60 $78.13 $97.66 58
P/B Multiple $58.60 $78.13 $97.66 55
EV/EBIT $42.80 $76.03 $109.27 63
EV/EBITDA $47.40 $82.16 $116.93 65
EV/Revenue $16.41 $47.83 $79.24 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $28.67 $38.41 $57.33 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $47.49 $50.82 $55.85 76
ROIC Compounder $14.48 $25.76 $35.48 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $46.52 $66.46 $86.40 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($78.13) versus Earnings-Based ($25.76). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.9
P/S ratio 1.85 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $4.94 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9
Dividend yield 3.9% payout 65.2%
Net margin 11.0% FY2025
Return on equity 9.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 30.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $2.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.5% 3y avg +4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$344M FY2025
Net debt $5.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Spire Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, retail distribution, and sale of natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and other end-users of natural gas in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Gas Utility, Gas Marketing, and Midstream.

Full company description

Spire Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, retail distribution, and sale of natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and other end-users of natural gas in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Gas Utility, Gas Marketing, and Midstream. It is also involved in the marketing of natural gas and related services; and transportation and storage of natural gas. In addition, the company engages in the operation of propane through its propane pipeline, risk management, and other activities. Spire Inc. was formerly known as The Laclede Group, Inc. and changed its name to Spire Inc. in April 2016. Spire Inc. was founded in 1857 and is based in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Spire Inc reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $272M in FY2025, compounding +0.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.5B
Latest YoY
−4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+8.9% (5.0 + 3.9)
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 $2.2B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $2.7B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $2.5B
Net income +0.0%/yr
FY21 $272M
FY22 $221M
FY23 $218M
FY24 $251M
FY25 $272M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.2 %

of which total revenue +4.6 % · buybacks/dilution −3.3 %

EBIT margin +3.1 %
Tax rate +2.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SR screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spire Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 105 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.99× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.85× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.45× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 27
FUTURE23 · sector 0
PAST36 · sector 35
HEALTH50 · sector 87
DIVIDEND77 · sector 71

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 25/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.60 €31.58 +7%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $166.65 $85.67 −49%
NiSource Inc NI $40.96 $28.59 −30%
Uniper SE UN0 €47.45 €48.32 +2%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.31 HK$4.79 −34%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.10 ₹130.21 −24%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.67 €8.63 −1%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹654.05 ₹101.36 −85%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.51 ¥25.71 +47%
UGI Corporation UGI $38.01 $26.72 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spire Inc (SR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $51.12 versus a price of $83.33, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SR?
Our model-based fair value for Spire Inc is $51.12 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $83.33.
What is the quality score of SR?
Spire Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Spire Inc (SR)?
Spire Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SR?
The net profit margin of Spire Inc is about 13.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Spire Inc pay a dividend?
Spire Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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