GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IN · Market cap ₹1.1T (≈ $12.1B) · ISIN INE129A01019
What is GAIL (India) Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 33% above our fair value of ₹130.21.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹111.25 to ₹222.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹67.78 – ₹223.88 · fair‑value band ₹111.25 – ₹222.96 · the ₹173.40 price screens above the ₹130.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
GAIL (India) Limited (GAIL) currently trades at ₹173.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹130.21, implying the stock looks roughly 33.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹184.06 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹173.40 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹65.37, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, GAIL (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹1.4T at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at ₹239B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹111.25 (bear case) to ₹222.96 (bull case); at ₹173.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −25%, GAIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹2.59 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹184.06) versus Growth DCF (₹65.37). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
GAIL (India) Limited operates as a natural gas processing and distribution company in India and internationally. It operates through Transmission Services, Natural Gas Marketing, Petrochemicals, LPG and Other Liquid Hydrocarbons, and Other segments.
Full company description
GAIL (India) Limited operates as a natural gas processing and distribution company in India and internationally. It operates through Transmission Services, Natural Gas Marketing, Petrochemicals, LPG and Other Liquid Hydrocarbons, and Other segments. The company is involved in the transmission and marketing of natural gas through pipelines to the power, fertilizer, industrial, automotive, petrochemical, domestic, and commercial sectors; exploration and production activities; and marketing of compressed biogas, city gas, and biofuels. It also produces and markets liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), propane, pentane, naphtha, mixed fuel oil, ethylene, propylene, and polypropylene; and manufactures petrochemicals, such as high-density and linear low-density polyethylene under the G-Lex and G-Lene brands. In addition, the company generates wind and solar power. GAIL (India) Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
GAIL (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹1.4T in FY2026 versus ₹928B in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹75.8B in FY2026, compounding −11.3%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +11.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GAIL screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- GAIL (India) Ltd (GAILF) (Q1 FY2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Profit Surge on LPG ...
- India's GAIL seeks 5-to-10-year LNG deal, sources say
- Gail India extends gas purchase agreement with Oil India for 15 years
- GAIL India's Dabhol LNG terminal goes all-weather with first monsoon cargo
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 105 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €29.60 | €31.58 | +7% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $166.65 | $85.67 | −49% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $40.96 | $28.59 | −30% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €47.45 | €48.32 | +2% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.31 | HK$4.79 | −34% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €8.67 | €8.63 | −1% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹654.05 | ₹101.36 | −85% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.51 | ¥25.71 | +47% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $38.01 | $26.72 | −30% |
| Southwest Gas Holdings SWX | $88.69 | $70.67 | −20% |
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