Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited (SPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 18.3B THB (≈ $557M) · ISIN TH0035010Z06
What is Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited really worth?
A solid business, trading 55% below our fair value of 125.92 THB.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +0.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (73.10 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (73.10 THB to 170.82 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 48.39 THB – 60.91 THB · fair‑value band 73.10 THB – 170.82 THB · the 56.25 THB price screens below the 125.92 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited (SPC) currently trades at 56.25 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 125.92 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 55.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 152.42 THB per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the 56.25 THB price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 39.08 THB, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited generated revenue of 40.9B THB at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.9B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 73.10 THB (bear case) to 170.82 THB (bull case); at 56.25 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 124%, SPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 3.67 THB per share, which is 2.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (152.42 THB) versus Dividend Discount (39.08 THB). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the consumer goods distribution business in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Sales of Consumer Products; and Office Building for Rent. The company distributes food and beverages, household, personal care, and other products.
Full company description
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the consumer goods distribution business in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Sales of Consumer Products; and Office Building for Rent. The company distributes food and beverages, household, personal care, and other products. It is also involved in sale of real estate properties; manufacture of instant noodles, mineral water, yoghurt, and coffee and beverage, as well as plastic packaging products; rental of office building; leasing of asset; internal and external service rendering; system implementation and computer programing services; and investment in startup businesses. The company distributes its products through traditional trade retailers and wholesalers, and modern trade retailers, including superstores and supermarket convenience stores, as well as special channels. Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited was founded in 1942 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited reported revenue of 41.2B THB in FY2025 versus 33.7B THB in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.7B THB in FY2025, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.94 | $59.83 | −27% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $107.78 | $53.53 | −50% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.25 | $37.94 | −65% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €18.00 | €21.59 | +20% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | −66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.04 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +104% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $43.62 | $6.00 | −86% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $64.56 | $47.78 | −26% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | −79% |
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