Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A (JMT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PT · Market cap €11.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −5.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from €16.19 (bear) to €26.98 (bull), base €21.59. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €11.82 – €24.45 · fair‑value band €16.19 – €26.98 · the €17.68 price screens below the €21.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A (JMT) currently trades at €17.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.59, implying the stock looks roughly 22.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A generated revenue of €36.5B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.6%. Net debt stands at €78.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €16.19 (bear case) to €26.98 (bull case); at €17.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 22%, JMT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€35.46) versus Asset-Based (€3.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in the food distribution sector in Portugal, Poland, Colombia, Slovakia, and internationally. The company operates through Portugal Retail, Portugal Cash & Carry, Poland Retail, Poland Health and Beauty, and Colombia Retail segments.
Full company description
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in the food distribution sector in Portugal, Poland, Colombia, Slovakia, and internationally. The company operates through Portugal Retail, Portugal Cash & Carry, Poland Retail, Poland Health and Beauty, and Colombia Retail segments. It engages in the operation of chain of food stores under the Biedronka brand; online sales offerings, such as deliveries under the Biek brand, alternative ordering and delivery solutions with e-commerce players, and non-food products through a website; supermarket chains under the Pingo Doce brand; cash and carry stores under the Recheio brand; Bem-Estar parapharmacies and petrol stations; and coffee shops and kiosks under the Jeronymo brand. The company is also involved in the provision of specialized retail of health and beauty products, as well as in-store consultation services under the Hebe brand; operation of a chain of proximity food stores under the Ara brand; and production of dairy, livestock farming, aquaculture, and fruit and vegetables. In addition, it engages in the real estate purchase and sale; sea passenger water transport; renting of air transport equipment; growing of crops and animal farming; saline brackish waters aquaculture; and retail management, consultancy, and logistics. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal. Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Sociedade Francisco Manuel Dos Santos B.V.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A reported revenue of €36.0B in FY2025 versus €20.9B in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was €646M in FY2025, compounding +8.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $84.69 | $59.83 | -29% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $110.94 | $53.53 | -52% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.96 | $37.94 | -67% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | -66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.34 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +58% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $47.27 | $6.00 | -87% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $65.61 | $47.78 | -27% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | -79% |
| Dong Suh Companies Inc 026960 | 26,000 KRW | 11,287 KRW | -57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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