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Olam Group (VC2) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 4.6B SGD

OG Olam Group VC2 · SG
Price1.30 SGD
Fair Value2.12 SGD
Upside+63.1%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.65% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: High Range 1.51 SGD – 3.09 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Share price +6.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 63% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.51 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.51 SGD to 3.09 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.57 SGD 0.7563 SGD Fair Value 2.12 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.7563 SGD – 1.57 SGD · fair‑value band 1.51 SGD – 3.09 SGD · the 1.30 SGD price screens below the 2.12 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Olam Group (VC2) currently trades at 1.30 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.12 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 63.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Olam Group generated revenue of 29.7B SGD at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at 12.5B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.51 SGD (bear case) to 3.09 SGD (bull case); at 1.30 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 63%, VC2 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF — — 0.4000 SGD 80
Residual Income 1.45 SGD 1.50 SGD 1.52 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1.26 SGD 2.88 SGD 4.57 SGD 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF — — 0.4300 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 0.0300 SGD 0.5000 SGD 1.15 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.26 SGD 2.89 SGD 4.93 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.33 SGD 4.74 SGD 7.47 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.1000 SGD 0.8700 SGD 1.63 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.5200 SGD 1.83 SGD 3.44 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.26 SGD 3.04 SGD 5.21 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit — 0.5000 SGD 1.14 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.8000 SGD 1.64 SGD 2.07 SGD 54
EPV 2.09 SGD 2.61 SGD 3.07 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.85 SGD 2.47 SGD 3.09 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 1.50 SGD 2.00 SGD 2.50 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 1.50 SGD 2.00 SGD 2.50 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 4.02 SGD 5.77 SGD 7.52 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 4.77 SGD 6.76 SGD 8.76 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 2.52 SGD 4.12 SGD 5.73 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.9300 SGD 1.24 SGD 1.86 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF — — 0.4000 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.26 SGD 2.88 SGD 4.57 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.45 SGD 1.50 SGD 1.52 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 2.11 SGD 2.78 SGD 3.48 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.35 SGD 1.93 SGD 2.51 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (2.88 SGD) versus Asset-Based (1.24 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 29.7B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 0.8%
Free cash flow 335M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 32.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.0400 SGD
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +374%
Net debt 12.5B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Olam Group Limited engages in sourcing, processing, packaging, and merchandising of agricultural products worldwide. It operates through Olam Food Ingredients, Olam Global Agri, and Remaining Olam Group segments.

Full company description

Olam Group Limited engages in sourcing, processing, packaging, and merchandising of agricultural products worldwide. It operates through Olam Food Ingredients, Olam Global Agri, and Remaining Olam Group segments. The company offers cocoa, coffee, dairy, nuts, and spices; and grains and oilseeds, feed and proteins, edible oils, rice, specialty grains and seeds, cotton, rubber, animal feed and protein, poultry breeding, wood products, and commodity financial services, as well as food, feed, and fibers. It also provides bakery, beverages, chocolate and confectionery, dairy and desserts, savoury and culinary, and snacking products. It operates in Asia, the Middle East, Australia, Africa, Europe, and the Americas. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Olam Group reported revenue of 29.6B SGD in FY2025 versus 47.0B SGD in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was 444M SGD in FY2025, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
29.6B SGD
Latest YoY
+28.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Revenue −10.9%/yr
FY21 47.0B SGD
FY22 54.9B SGD
FY23 48.3B SGD
FY24 23.0B SGD
FY25 29.6B SGD
Net income −10.3%/yr
FY21 686M SGD
FY22 629M SGD
FY23 279M SGD
FY24 86.4M SGD
FY25 444M SGD

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Olam Group · Fair Value
2.12 SGD +63%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Olam Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VC2

Peer Group

Food Distribution · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +63% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.51× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 61 · sector 12
PAST 3 · sector 35
HEALTH 53 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 33 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY $84.69 $59.83 -29%
US Foods Holding USFD $110.94 $53.53 -52%
Performance Food Group PFGC $113.96 $37.94 -67%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €17.68 €21.59 +22%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.80 THB 17.42 THB +18%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $111.07 $37.27 -66%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $47.27 $6.00 -87%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $65.61 $47.78 -27%
Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 ¥31.47 ¥6.75 -79%
Dong Suh Companies Inc 026960 26,000 KRW 11,287 KRW -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Olam Group (VC2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.12 SGD versus a price of 1.30 SGD, about +63% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VC2?
Our model-based fair value for Olam Group is 2.12 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.30 SGD.
What is the quality score of VC2?
Olam Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Olam Group (VC2)?
Olam Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.7B SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VC2?
The net profit margin of Olam Group is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Olam Group pay a dividend?
Olam Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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