The Andersons Inc (ANDE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.7B · ISIN US0341641035
What is The Andersons Inc really worth?
The Andersons Inc
ANDE · US
A solid business, but trading 45% above our fair value of $47.78.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −6.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($59.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.50 – $80.87 · fair‑value band $35.84 – $59.73 · the $69.49 price screens above the $47.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
The Andersons Inc (ANDE) currently trades at $69.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.78, implying the stock looks roughly 45.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $53.65 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $69.49 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $11.63, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Andersons Inc generated revenue of $11.0B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $945M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $35.84 (bear case) to $59.73 (bull case); at $69.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −31%, ANDE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.01 per share, which is 4.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($53.65) versus Dividend Discount ($11.63). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The Andersons, Inc. operates as an agriculture and renewable fuels company in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Agribusiness and Renewables segments. The Agribusiness segment sells commodities, such as corn, wheat, and soybeans.
Full company description
The Andersons, Inc. operates as an agriculture and renewable fuels company in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Agribusiness and Renewables segments. The Agribusiness segment sells commodities, such as corn, wheat, and soybeans. It also manufactures, distributes, and retails agricultural and related plant nutrients; and agricultural fertilizers. This segment also engages in the merchandising business, as well as offers logistics for physical commodities, such as whole grains, grain products, feed ingredients, domestic fuel products, and other agricultural commodities. The Renewables segment produces, purchases, sells, merchandises, and trades in ethanol, and co-products, as well as merchandises and trades in other biofuels, such as renewable feedstocks. The Andersons, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in Maumee, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Andersons Inc reported revenue of $11.0B in FY2025 versus $12.6B in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $95.7M in FY2025, compounding −2.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +12.7 % · buybacks/dilution −2.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ANDE screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Andersons, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend for Fourth Quarter 2026
- Andersons (ANDE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- The Bull Case For Andersons (ANDE) Could Change Following Surging Q2 Renewables And Fertilizer Earnings
- Andersons (ANDE) Q2 Earnings Beat Puts Fair Value Back In Focus
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.94 | $59.83 | −27% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $107.78 | $53.53 | −50% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.25 | $37.94 | −65% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €18.00 | €21.59 | +20% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | −66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.04 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +104% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $43.62 | $6.00 | −86% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | −79% |
| Dong Suh Companies Inc 026960 | 25,450 KRW | 11,287 KRW | −56% |
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