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Sands China Ltd (SCHYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $14.5B

SC Sands China Ltd logo Sands China Ltd SCHYY · US
Price$18.18
Fair Value$21.78
Upside+19.8%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
7.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $14.61 – $28.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +8.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($14.61 to $28.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $14.61 (bear) to $28.95 (bull), base $21.78. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$43.12 $15.06 Fair Value $21.78 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.06 – $43.12 · fair‑value band $14.61 – $28.95 · the $18.18 price screens below the $21.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sands China Ltd (SCHYY) currently trades at $18.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.78, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sands China Ltd generated revenue of $7.4B at a net margin of 12.0%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 73.7%. Net debt stands at $5.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.61 (bear case) to $28.95 (bull case); at $18.18, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 20%, SCHYY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $18.71 $36.28 $65.66 80
Residual Income $7.71 $10.66 $121.49 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.44 $10.35 $16.66 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $18.80 $37.70 $69.98 38
Owner Earnings $12.28 $26.12 $49.79 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.44 $10.11 $15.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $16.64 $32.90 $52.98 41
5Y P/E Exit $13.61 $26.73 $41.42 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.62 $15.48 $23.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.17 $32.06 $54.05 37
10Y P/E Exit $15.17 $27.57 $44.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.53 $33.32 $45.62 54
Lynch FV $8.63 $12.33 $16.03 50
PEG = 1.0 $8.63 $12.33 $16.03 46
EPV $8.02 $10.30 $12.29 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.88 $12.22 $19.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.88 $10.30 $12.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $18.27 $24.35 $30.44 63
P/S Multiple $5.08 $6.78 $8.47 58
P/B Multiple $5.19 $6.92 $8.66 55
EV/EBIT $15.87 $23.05 $30.22 53
EV/EBITDA $17.51 $25.23 $32.94 54
EV/Revenue $1.14 $3.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8700 $1.16 $1.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $18.71 $36.28 $65.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.44 $10.35 $16.66 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.71 $10.66 $121.49 76
ROIC Compounder $9.78 $15.08 $21.96 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.55 $20.79 $27.03 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($26.73) versus Asset-Based ($1.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 12.0%
Return on equity 73.7%
Free cash flow $1.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.3
More key figures
Operating margin 18.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.11
Dividend yield 7.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.1%
Net debt $5.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sands China Ltd. develops, owns, and operates integrated resorts and casinos in Macao. The company owns and operates The Venetian Macao, The Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao resort, The Plaza Macao, and The Sands Macao casino; the Cotai Expo, a convention and exhibition hall; and The Venetian and The Londoner Arena, an entertainment venues, as well as …

Full company description

Sands China Ltd. develops, owns, and operates integrated resorts and casinos in Macao. The company owns and operates The Venetian Macao, The Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao resort, The Plaza Macao, and The Sands Macao casino; the Cotai Expo, a convention and exhibition hall; and The Venetian and The Londoner Arena, an entertainment venues, as well as Cotai Water Jet ferry for leisure and business travelers. It offers ferry transportation and leasing services, and pontoon leasing; gaming and other related activities; travel and tourism agency services; security services; and human resources administration services, as well as outsourcing services, including information technology, accounting, hotel management, and marketing. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Macau. Sands China Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Las Vegas Sands Corp.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sands China Ltd reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was $896M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.6B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY21 $2.9B
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $6.5B
FY24 $7.1B
FY25 $4.6B
Net income
FY21 −$1.0B
FY22 −$1.6B
FY23 $692M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $896M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −7.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.5 pp

of which total revenue −2.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −1.4 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sands China Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCHYY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 74% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 4.33× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 10.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.95× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.65× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 60 · sector 26
FUTURE 60 · sector 29
PAST 100 · sector 16
HEALTH 0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $45.68 $51.60 +13%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$34.20 HK$40.46 +18%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $43.98 $17.73 -60%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $102.97 $69.39 -33%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $63.09 $18.01 -71%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $82.98 $151.24 +82%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.74 $80.92 +172%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6400 SGD 0.6900 SGD +8%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $148.36 $132.94 -10%
MGM China Holdings 2282 HK$10.32 HK$24.07 +133%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sands China Ltd (SCHYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.78 versus a price of $18.18, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCHYY?
Our model-based fair value for Sands China Ltd is $21.78 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.18.
What is the quality score of SCHYY?
Sands China Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sands China Ltd (SCHYY)?
Sands China Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCHYY?
The net profit margin of Sands China Ltd is about 12.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sands China Ltd pay a dividend?
Sands China Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.19% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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