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Caesars Entertainment Corporation (CZR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.1B · ISIN US12769G1004

What is Caesars Entertainment Corporation really worth?

CE Caesars Entertainment Corporation logo Caesars Entertainment Corporation CZR · US
Price$29.69
Fair Value$80.92
Upside+172.6%
Quality40/100

Below-average quality, trading 63% below our fair value of $80.92.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +25.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.2% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 14 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $29.45 – $80.92

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −0.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($29.45 to $80.92). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$119.49 $18.14 Fair Value $80.92 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.14 – $119.49 · fair‑value band $29.45 – $80.92 · the $29.69 price screens below the $80.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Caesars Entertainment Corporation (CZR) currently trades at $29.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $80.92, implying the stock looks roughly 63.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $130.69 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the $29.69 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.53, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Caesars Entertainment Corporation generated revenue of $11.6B at a net margin of −4.2%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −10.7%. Net debt stands at $25.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.45 (bear case) to $80.92 (bull case); at $29.69, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 173%, CZR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $9.58 $67.24 77
Growth DCF $6.53 $51.87 75
EPV $30.53 $43.71 $55.08 73
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $9.58 $67.24 77
5Y Revenue Exit $30.72 $88.38 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $56.56 $174.88 $332.31 70
10Y Revenue Exit $22.57 $85.48 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $30.65 $129.03 $295.67 61
Earnings-Based
EPV $30.53 $43.71 $55.08 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.16 $2.32 $3.51 67
DDM Multi-Stage $1.16 $2.00 $2.45 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $84.78 $130.69 $176.60 65
EV/EBITDA $101.49 $152.96 $204.43 66
EV/Revenue $14.73 $35.03 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.60 $11.53 $17.20 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.53 $51.87 75
Rev-Margin DCF $28.88 $81.74 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $37.83 $72.35 $107.76 69

Widest divergence: Multiples ($130.69) versus Dividend Discount ($2.00). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.53 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−2.36
Dividend yield 0.5%
Net margin −4.4% FY2025
Return on equity −10.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 17.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $11.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7% 3y avg +2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +41.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $520M FY2025
Net debt $25.5B FY2025 · ≈ 49.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 16
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. operates as a gaming and hospitality company. It owns, leases, brands, or manages domestic properties in 18 states with slot machines, video lottery terminals and e-tables, and hotel rooms, as well as table games, including poker.

Full company description

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. operates as a gaming and hospitality company. It owns, leases, brands, or manages domestic properties in 18 states with slot machines, video lottery terminals and e-tables, and hotel rooms, as well as table games, including poker. The company also operates and conducts online gaming, retail and online sports wagering across 42 jurisdictions in North America, and iGaming in five jurisdictions in North America; sports betting from retail and online sportsbooks; and other games, such as keno. In addition, it operates casinos, dining venues, bars, nightclubs, lounges, hotels, and entertainment venues; and provides staffing and management services. The company was founded in 1937 and is based in Reno, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Caesars Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $11.5B in FY2025 versus $9.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$502M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.5B
Latest YoY
+2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (38Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY21 $9.6B
FY22 $10.8B
FY23 $11.5B
FY24 $11.2B
FY25 $11.5B
Net income
FY21 −$1.0B
FY22 −$899M
FY23 $786M
FY24 −$278M
FY25 −$502M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Caesars Entertainment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CZR

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 74 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside +173% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.33× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 31
FUTURE14 · sector 25
PAST0 · sector 19
HEALTH0 · sector 82
DIVIDEND9 · sector 61

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $46.23 $51.60 +12%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$33.86 HK$40.46 +19%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$14.45 HK$19.10 +32%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $42.28 $17.73 −58%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $102.97 $69.39 −33%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $58.40 $18.01 −69%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $80.63 $151.24 +88%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6700 SGD 0.6900 SGD +3%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $148.36 $132.94 −10%
MGM China Holdings 2282 HK$10.42 HK$24.07 +131%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Caesars Entertainment Corporation (CZR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $80.92 versus a price of $29.69, about +173% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CZR?
Our model-based fair value for Caesars Entertainment Corporation is $80.92 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $29.69.
What is the quality score of CZR?
Caesars Entertainment Corporation has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Caesars Entertainment Corporation (CZR)?
Caesars Entertainment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CZR?
The net profit margin of Caesars Entertainment Corporation is about −4.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Caesars Entertainment Corporation pay a dividend?
Caesars Entertainment Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.45% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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