Wynn Resorts Limited (WYNN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.0B · ISIN US9831341071
What is Wynn Resorts Limited really worth?
Wynn Resorts Limited
WYNN · US
A solid business, but trading 32% above our fair value of $69.39.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −6.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($45.45 to $90.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $50.32 – $132.45 · fair‑value band $45.45 – $90.85 · the $91.56 price screens above the $69.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wynn Resorts Limited (WYNN) currently trades at $91.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.39, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $146.53 per share, and 9 of the 20 models we run sit above the $91.56 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $59.14, and 11 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Wynn Resorts Limited generated revenue of $7.3B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $10.8B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.6. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $45.45 (bear case) to $90.85 (bull case); at $91.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at −24%, WYNN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.69 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($146.53) versus Growth DCF ($59.14). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (71).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor.
Full company description
Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor. The Wynn Palace segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with suites and villas, as well as a health club, spa, salon, and pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; and a performance lake, an immersive entertainment center, Western and Asian art displays, and a gondola ride. Its Wynn Macau segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; luxury hotel towers with health clubs, spas, a salon, and a pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; a performance lake; and a rotunda show featuring Chinese zodiac-inspired ceilings. The Las Vegas Operations segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, villas, swimming pools, private cabanas, full-service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; food and beverage outlets; meeting and convention space; retail space; a golf course; nightclubs; a beach club; and theaters. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates casino space, private and high-limit gaming areas, and a sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, a spa, and a salon; food and beverage outlets; a nightclub; retail space; meeting and convention space; a waterfront park; floral displays; and water shuttle services. Wynn Resorts, Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wynn Resorts Limited reported revenue of $7.1B in FY2025 versus $3.8B in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was $327M in FY2025.
WYNN screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Update: Wynn Resorts' Boston Casino Workers Authorize Labor Action
- Wynn Resorts Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 74 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $46.23 | $51.60 | +12% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$33.86 | HK$40.46 | +19% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$14.45 | HK$19.10 | +32% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $42.28 | $17.73 | −58% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $58.40 | $18.01 | −69% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $80.63 | $151.24 | +88% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.63 | $80.92 | +173% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6700 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +3% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $148.36 | $132.94 | −10% |
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$10.42 | HK$24.07 | +131% |
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