Red Rock Resorts Inc (RRR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.6B · ISIN US75700L1089
What is Red Rock Resorts Inc really worth?
Red Rock Resorts Inc
RRR · US
A solid business, but trading 217% above our fair value of $18.01.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −11.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($43.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($15.92 to $43.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $27.07 – $67.26 · fair‑value band $15.92 – $43.39 · the $57.09 price screens above the $18.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Red Rock Resorts Inc (RRR) currently trades at $57.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.01, implying the stock looks roughly 217.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $40.33 per share, and 2 of the 20 models we run sit above the $57.09 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $9.86, and 18 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Red Rock Resorts Inc generated revenue of $2.0B at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 114.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $84.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.92 (bear case) to $43.39 (bull case); at $57.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at −68%, RRR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.41 per share, which is 7.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($40.33) versus Asset-Based ($1.36). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Red Rock Resorts, Inc., through its interest in Station Casinos LLC, develops and manages casino and entertainment properties in the United States. It owns and operates gaming and entertainment facilities, including Durango Casino & Resort and smaller casinos in the Las Vegas regional market. The company was formerly known as Station Casinos Corp.
Full company description
Red Rock Resorts, Inc., through its interest in Station Casinos LLC, develops and manages casino and entertainment properties in the United States. It owns and operates gaming and entertainment facilities, including Durango Casino & Resort and smaller casinos in the Las Vegas regional market. The company was formerly known as Station Casinos Corp. and changed its name to Red Rock Resorts, Inc. in January 2016. Red Rock Resorts, Inc. was founded in 1976 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Red Rock Resorts Inc reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $1.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $188M in FY2025, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.7 % · buybacks/dilution −10.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
RRR screens 217% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Shares Jump 22.4% in Q2 as Construction Disruptions Subside
- Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Stock Still Looks Undervalued Following Its 101% Five Year Run
- Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Following Earnings And Dividend News, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 74 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $46.23 | $51.60 | +12% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$33.86 | HK$40.46 | +19% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$14.45 | HK$19.10 | +32% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $42.28 | $17.73 | −58% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $102.97 | $69.39 | −33% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $80.63 | $151.24 | +88% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.63 | $80.92 | +173% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6700 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +3% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $148.36 | $132.94 | −10% |
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$10.42 | HK$24.07 | +131% |
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