Galaxy Entertainment Group (0027) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$129B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$41.44 to HK$40.46 (−2.4%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +10.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from HK$30.34 (bear) to HK$50.57 (bull), base HK$40.46. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$24.12 – HK$66.28 · fair‑value band HK$30.34 – HK$50.57 · the HK$34.74 price screens below the HK$40.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Galaxy Entertainment Group (0027) currently trades at HK$34.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$40.46, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Galaxy Entertainment Group generated revenue of HK$49.3B at a net margin of 21.7%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$11.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$30.34 (bear case) to HK$50.57 (bull case); at HK$34.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 16%, 0027 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$50.42) versus Asset-Based (HK$12.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China. It operates through Gaming and Entertainment, and Construction Materials segments.
Full company description
Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China. It operates through Gaming and Entertainment, and Construction Materials segments. The company operates casino games of chance or games of other forms; provides hospitality and related services; and manufacture, sale and distribution of construction materials. It develops and operates operates three flagship destinations in Macau such as integrated destination resorts in Galaxy Macau; unique landmark entertainment and food street destination adjoining Broadway Macau; and StarWorld Hotel, a five-star luxury hotel on the Peninsula. In addition, the company engages in sale and distribution of concrete pipes; provision of management services; and manufacture, sale, distribution and laying of asphalt, road base and bituminous materials, bricks, concrete pipes, cement, and slag; and provision of road marking services; and ready-mixed concrete; as well as management of galaxy international convention center and galaxy arena. Further, it offers truck leasing; quality assurance; cross-border transportation service, hospitality, marketing and promotion services, and project management activities. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Galaxy Entertainment Group reported revenue of HK$29.6B in FY2025 versus HK$13.0B in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.7B in FY2025, compounding +68.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −6.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $45.68 | $51.60 | +13% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$14.34 | HK$2.05 | -86% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $43.98 | $17.73 | -60% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $102.97 | $69.39 | -33% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $63.09 | $18.01 | -71% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $82.98 | $151.24 | +82% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.74 | $80.92 | +172% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6400 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +8% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $148.36 | $132.94 | -10% |
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$10.32 | HK$24.07 | +133% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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