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Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$129B (≈ $16.4B) · ISIN HK0027032686

What is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd really worth?

GE Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd 0027 · HK
PriceHK$33.90
Fair ValueHK$40.46
Upside+19.4%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 16% below our fair value of HK$40.46.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.1 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 21.7% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (11/15)
✓Wide moat 65/100

For context

·5.01% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range HK$30.34 – HK$50.57

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +1.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$64.72 HK$24.12 Fair Value HK$40.46 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$24.12 – HK$64.72 · fair‑value band HK$30.34 – HK$50.57 · the HK$33.90 price screens below the HK$40.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) currently trades at HK$33.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$40.46, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$50.42 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$33.90 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$12.72, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$49.3B at a net margin of 21.7%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$11.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$30.34 (bear case) to HK$50.57 (bull case); at HK$33.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 19%, 0027 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$34.78 HK$59.84 HK$103.11 78
Growth DCF HK$34.60 HK$57.73 HK$96.70 76
Owner Earnings HK$35.41 HK$60.96 HK$105.10 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$34.78 HK$59.84 HK$103.11 78
Owner Earnings HK$35.41 HK$60.96 HK$105.10 74
5Y Revenue Exit HK$17.22 HK$23.06 HK$30.22 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$30.56 HK$50.42 HK$75.05 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$38.52 HK$66.74 HK$98.91 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$22.70 HK$30.19 HK$40.28 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$31.72 HK$50.18 HK$77.62 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$36.99 HK$62.09 HK$97.49 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$16.57 HK$75.45 HK$103.51 64
Lynch FV HK$19.76 HK$28.22 HK$36.69 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$19.76 HK$28.22 HK$36.69 57
EPV HK$22.00 HK$25.12 HK$27.86 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$11.00 HK$22.88 HK$36.29 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$11.00 HK$19.29 HK$24.01 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$40.22 HK$53.62 HK$67.03 63
P/S Multiple HK$6.08 HK$8.11 HK$10.14 58
P/B Multiple HK$31.08 HK$41.44 HK$51.79 55
EV/EBIT HK$32.77 HK$42.61 HK$52.44 66
EV/EBITDA HK$30.74 HK$39.89 HK$49.05 67
EV/Revenue HK$8.95 HK$11.38 HK$13.81 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$9.49 HK$12.72 HK$18.99 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$34.60 HK$57.73 HK$96.70 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$17.22 HK$23.37 HK$31.35 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$18.00 HK$21.66 HK$43.34 72
ROIC Compounder HK$23.37 HK$30.66 HK$40.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$32.72 HK$46.74 HK$60.76 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$50.42) versus Asset-Based (HK$12.72). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.1 as of Jul 1, 2026
P/S ratio 4.35 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$1.31 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1
Dividend yield 5.0% payout 130%
Net margin 36.1% FY2025
Return on equity 13.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 19.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$49.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.3% 3y avg +52.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +24.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$10.8B FY2025
Net cash HK$11.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China. It operates through Gaming and Entertainment, and Construction Materials segments.

Full company description

Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China. It operates through Gaming and Entertainment, and Construction Materials segments. The company operates casino games of chance or games of other forms; provides hospitality and related services; and manufacture, sale and distribution of construction materials. It develops and operates operates three flagship destinations in Macau such as integrated destination resorts in Galaxy Macau; unique landmark entertainment and food street destination adjoining Broadway Macau; and StarWorld Hotel, a five-star luxury hotel on the Peninsula. In addition, the company engages in sale and distribution of concrete pipes; provision of management services; and manufacture, sale, distribution and laying of asphalt, road base and bituminous materials, bricks, concrete pipes, cement, and slag; and provision of road marking services; and ready-mixed concrete; as well as management of galaxy international convention center and galaxy arena. Further, it offers truck leasing; quality assurance; cross-border transportation service, hospitality, marketing and promotion services, and project management activities. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$29.6B in FY2025 versus HK$13.0B in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.7B in FY2025, compounding +68.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$29.6B
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+49.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.8% (9.8 + 5.0)
Revenue +22.9%/yr
FY21 HK$13.0B
FY22 HK$8.4B
FY23 HK$23.0B
FY24 HK$43.4B
FY25 HK$29.6B
Net income +68.4%/yr
FY21 HK$1.3B
FY22 −HK$3.4B
FY23 HK$6.8B
FY24 HK$8.8B
FY25 HK$10.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.7 %

of which total revenue −6.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.2 %

EBIT margin +8.7 %
Tax rate +0.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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HK$40.46 +16%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0027

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 74 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.55× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.19× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE59 · sector 31
FUTURE92 · sector 25
PAST54 · sector 19
HEALTH100 · sector 82
DIVIDEND100 · sector 61

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $46.23 $51.60 +12%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$14.45 HK$19.10 +32%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $42.28 $17.73 −58%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $102.97 $69.39 −33%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $58.40 $18.01 −69%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $80.63 $151.24 +88%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.63 $80.92 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6700 SGD 0.6900 SGD +3%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $148.36 $132.94 −10%
MGM China Holdings 2282 HK$10.42 HK$24.07 +131%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$40.46 versus a price of HK$33.90, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0027?
Our model-based fair value for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is HK$40.46 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$33.90.
What is the quality score of 0027?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$49.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0027?
The net profit margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is about 21.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.01% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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