Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹548B (≈ $5.8B) · ISIN INE944F01028
What is Radico Khaitan Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 164% above our fair value of ₹1,705.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from ₹947.44 to ₹1,705 (+80.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,262). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹953.66 to ₹2,262) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹540.49 – ₹4,733 · fair‑value band ₹953.66 – ₹2,262 · the ₹4,494 price screens above the ₹1,705 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) currently trades at ₹4,494, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,705, implying the stock looks roughly 163.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹1,123 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹4,494 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹436.76, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Radico Khaitan Limited generated revenue of ₹58.5B at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 19.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at ₹4.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹953.66 (bear case) to ₹2,262 (bull case); at ₹4,494, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −62%, RADICO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹19.47 per share, which is 1.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,123) versus Dividend Discount (₹68.75). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
Notify me when RADICO reaches fair value
Put RADICO on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Radico Khaitan Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL) and country liquor in India, the United States, and internationally. It provides IMFL products in various categories of whisky, brandy, rum, gin, vodka, and liqueurs. The company also provides bottling services to other spirit manufacturers.
Full company description
Radico Khaitan Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL) and country liquor in India, the United States, and internationally. It provides IMFL products in various categories of whisky, brandy, rum, gin, vodka, and liqueurs. The company also provides bottling services to other spirit manufacturers. It offers its products to state government, state-owned corporation, canteen stores department, private distributors, and retailers in open market. The company was formerly known as Rampur Distillery Company. Radico Khaitan Limited was founded in 1943 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Radico Khaitan Limited reported revenue of ₹60.5B in FY2026 versus ₹28.7B in FY2022, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.0B in FY2026, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +13.5 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
RADICO screens 164% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,303 | ¥1,238 | −5% |
| Diageo plc DEO | $92.99 | $73.29 | −21% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥71.89 | ¥48.44 | −33% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥116.39 | ¥185.80 | +60% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €63.20 | €76.13 | +20% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥84.50 | ¥149.17 | +77% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $28.72 | $27.69 | −4% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,528 | ₹285.39 | −81% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4650 SGD | 0.7000 SGD | +51% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥39.59 | ¥27.82 | −30% |
Compare Radico Khaitan Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of RADICO?
What is the quality score of RADICO?
What is the revenue of Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO)?
What is the net profit margin of RADICO?
Does Radico Khaitan Limited pay a dividend?
Watch Radico Khaitan Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Radico Khaitan Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.