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Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (OPHLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $6.5B · ISIN US6827361030

What is Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd really worth?

OP Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd logo Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd OPHLY · US
Price$5.28
Fair Value$7.16
Upside+35.6%
Quality79/100

A strong business, trading 26% below our fair value of $7.16.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.1 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 13.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)

Risks

!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 29 out of 100

For context

·3.83% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $5.37 – $8.95

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from $7.27 to $7.16 (−1.5%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (79/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.64 $2.94 Fair Value $7.16 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.94 – $7.64 · fair‑value band $5.37 – $8.95 · the $5.28 price screens below the $7.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (OPHLY) currently trades at $5.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.16, implying the stock looks roughly 26.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $9.67 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the $5.28 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.52, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd generated revenue of $516B at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $117B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.37 (bear case) to $8.95 (bull case); at $5.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 36%, OPHLY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $7.68 $12.05 $18.86 79
Growth DCF $7.70 $11.87 $18.23 77
Owner Earnings $6.12 $9.51 $14.79 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $7.68 $12.05 $18.86 79
Owner Earnings $6.12 $9.51 $14.79 75
5Y Revenue Exit $5.91 $8.90 $12.76 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.20 $11.44 $16.50 75
5Y P/E Exit $6.30 $9.67 $13.30 71
10Y Revenue Exit $6.35 $9.27 $13.33 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.31 $11.03 $16.23 68
10Y P/E Exit $6.73 $9.81 $13.75 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.21 $8.39 $11.36 64
Lynch FV $2.04 $2.91 $3.78 61
PEG = 1.0 $2.04 $2.91 $3.78 57
EPV $4.14 $4.67 $5.14 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.37 $7.16 $8.95 63
P/S Multiple $4.15 $5.53 $6.92 58
P/B Multiple $4.15 $5.53 $6.92 55
EV/EBIT $6.86 $8.91 $10.96 66
EV/EBITDA $7.63 $9.93 $12.24 67
EV/Revenue $5.10 $6.98 $8.86 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.88 $2.52 $3.76 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.70 $11.87 $18.23 77
Rev-Margin DCF $5.91 $8.91 $12.58 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.14 $3.39 $4.04 71
ROIC Compounder $4.27 $5.30 $6.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.83 $5.47 $7.11 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($9.67) versus Asset-Based ($2.52). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.0
P/S ratio 2.30 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.3100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.0
Dividend yield 3.8% payout 65.2%
Net margin 13.5% FY2026
Return on equity 8.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $516B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.7% 3y avg +6.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +93.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $139B FY2026
Net cash $117B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 79/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. produces, purchases, and sells pharmaceuticals and diagnostic reagents worldwide. It offers Opdivo intravenous infusion and Kyprolis intravenous injection for malignant tumors; Emend capsule intravenous injections for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting; Demser capsules for the symptoms in patients with pheochromocytoma; …

Full company description

Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. produces, purchases, and sells pharmaceuticals and diagnostic reagents worldwide. It offers Opdivo intravenous infusion and Kyprolis intravenous injection for malignant tumors; Emend capsule intravenous injections for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting; Demser capsules for the symptoms in patients with pheochromocytoma; Mektovi, Velexbru, and Braftovi capsules for malignant tumors; and ADLUMIZ tablets for cancer cachexia. The company also provides Glactiv tablets for type 2 diabetes; Forxiga tablets for diabetes, chronic heart failure, and chronic kidney disease; Onoact intravenous infusion for tachyarrhythmia; Opalmon tablets to treat peripheral circulatory disorder; Coralan for chronic heart failure; Orencia injections for rheumatoid arthritis; Rivastach patches for Alzheimer's disease; Ongentys tablets for Parkinson's disease; Parsabiv for the treatment of secondary hyperparathyroidism; Staybla tablets for overactive bladder; Onon capsules and Dry Syrups for bronchial asthma and allergic rhinitis; and Joyclu intra-articular injection for the improvement of joint function, as well as Recalbon tablets for osteoporosis. In addition, it develops products for hepatocellular and urothelial carcinoma; ovarian, bladder, prostate, pancreatic, gastric, esophageal, colorectal, thyroid, cell lung, and breast cancer; acute myeloid leukemia; solid tumors; myelodysplastic syndrome; melanoma; T-cell lymphoma; tachyarrhythmia; pemphigus; scleroderma; seizures; diabetic polyneuropathy; neurodegenerative diseases; autoimmune diseases; narcolepsy; and thrombosis. The company has collaborations with Adimab LLC; Turbine Ltd.; Harvard University; Sibylla Biotech; and Congruence Therapeutics. Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1717 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥547B in FY2026 versus ¥361B in FY2022, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥74.0B in FY2026, compounding −2.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$547B
Latest YoY
+12.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+29.4% (25.6 + 3.8)
Revenue +10.9%/yr
FY22 ¥361B
FY23 ¥447B
FY24 ¥503B
FY25 ¥487B
FY26 ¥547B
Net income −2.1%/yr
FY22 ¥80.5B
FY23 ¥113B
FY24 ¥128B
FY25 ¥50.0B
FY26 ¥74.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +27.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +28.5 %

of which total revenue +12.3 % · buybacks/dilution +14.4 %

EBIT margin −0.1 %
Tax rate +0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPHLY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 75 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +36% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE81 · sector 0
FUTURE29 · sector 29
PAST34 · sector 49
HEALTH96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND77 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,176 $389.47 −67%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $265.77 $169.04 −36%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $258.15 $67.72 −74%
Roche Holding RO CHF 374.60 CHF 306.54 −18%
Merck & Co MRK €131.98 €101.38 −23%
Novartis AG NOVN CHF 123.74 CHF 114.90 −7%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 295.50 kr 409.46 +39%
Amgen Inc AMGN $436.99 $252.02 −42%
Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD $148.86 $146.50 −2%
Pfizer Inc PFE $28.02 $24.87 −11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (OPHLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.16 versus a price of $5.28, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OPHLY?
Our model-based fair value for Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is $7.16 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.28.
What is the quality score of OPHLY?
Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (OPHLY)?
Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $516B (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OPHLY?
The net profit margin of Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is about 13.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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