Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $27.4B · ISIN CA4969024047
What is Kinross Gold Corporation really worth?
Kinross Gold Corporation
KGC · US
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value of $34.62.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +33.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($25.97 to $66.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.89 – $37.97 · fair‑value band $25.97 – $66.87 · the $31.59 price screens below the $34.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) currently trades at $31.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.62, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $56.74 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the $31.59 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.80, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kinross Gold Corporation generated revenue of $8.0B at a net margin of 36.0%. Revenue grew 60.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $975M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $25.97 (bear case) to $66.87 (bull case); at $31.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 10%, KGC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.49 per share, which is 4.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($56.74) versus Dividend Discount ($2.09). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver.
Full company description
Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kinross Gold Corporation reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound +28.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.4B in FY2025, compounding +82.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kinross Gold (TSX:K) Stock Looks Cheap Even After A 7x Run
- Kinross Gold (TSX:K) Looks Cheap If Gold Strength Keeps Supporting The Story
- Can Kinross Gold's Strong Liquidity Fuel Future Growth and Returns?
- Why Is Kinross Gold (KGC) Up 37.6% Since Last Earnings Report?
Peer Group
Gold · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $112.82 | −12% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $271.31 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
| Lundin Gold Inc LUG | kr 708.00 | kr 504.76 | −29% |
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