Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹2.0T
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹417.35 to ₹236.74 (−43.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 67% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹147.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (₹147.74 to ₹306.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹43.25 – ₹184.65 · fair‑value band ₹147.74 – ₹306.82 · the ₹141.50 price screens below the ₹236.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) currently trades at ₹141.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹236.74, implying the stock looks roughly 67.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Indian Oil Corporation generated revenue of ₹7.8T at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.0%. Net debt stands at ₹1.3T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹147.74 (bear case) to ₹306.82 (bull case); at ₹141.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at 67%, IOC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹544.79) versus Asset-Based (₹104.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Indian Oil Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the oil, gas, petrochemicals, and alternative energy source businesses in India and internationally. It operates through Sale of Petroleum Products, Sale of Petrochemicals, Sale of Gas, and Other segments.
Full company description
Indian Oil Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the oil, gas, petrochemicals, and alternative energy source businesses in India and internationally. It operates through Sale of Petroleum Products, Sale of Petrochemicals, Sale of Gas, and Other segments. The company is involved in the refining of petroleum products; exploration and production of crude oil and gas; explosives and cryogenic businesses; pipeline transportation of crude oil, petroleum, and gas; petrochemicals and gasoline; gas and LPG marketing; research and development; city gas distribution; and downstream operations. It also engages in low carbon, new, clean, and green energy businesses; lube blending; marketing of lubricants and base oil; participation in the shale gas asset project; crude oil trading; import and export of petroleum products; investment in E&P assets, battery technology, and alternative energy technology companies; and wind mill and solar power generation. In addition, the company provides terminalling, retailing, aviation refueling, and bunkering; and financial services, as well as operates fuel stations. It serves motorists, households, businesses, society, suppliers, business partners, and the sports industry. The company was formerly known as Indian Oil Company Limited and changed its name to Indian Oil Corporation Limited in September 1964. Indian Oil Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1959 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Indian Oil Corporation reported revenue of ₹7.8T in FY2026 versus ₹5.9T in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹421B in FY2026, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +8.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch IOC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Indian Oil Subsidiary CPCL Plans 280,000 Bpd Manali Refinery
- Indian refiners tumble as crude surges on widening Iran war
- Petrobras renews oil deals with Indian refiners worth more than $3.1 billion
- Indian Oil buys Angola, Brazil, UAE oil to replace Russian crude, sources say
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,329 | ₹751.26 | -43% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $330.21 | $127.32 | -61% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $348.25 | $133.18 | -62% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $225.58 | $99.41 | -56% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €29.61 | €3.83 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 70.20 TWD | 15.32 TWD | -78% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $87.93 | $44.96 | -49% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹317.00 | ₹846.81 | +167% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 122,400 KRW | 53,541 KRW | -56% |
| S-Oil Corporation 010950 | 140,900 KRW | 19,441 KRW | -86% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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